Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · M&T Bank Stadium
The market makes Baltimore Ravens a 8.5-point favourite over New Orleans Saints, with the game total at 45.5.
Moneylines sit at +320 for New Orleans Saints and -410 for Baltimore Ravens, a devigged 77% win probability for Baltimore Ravens; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 18.5 for New Orleans Saints and 27 for Baltimore Ravens.
The spread has moved from -7.5 to -8.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 46.5 to 45.5.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected New Orleans Saints — Tyler Shough (QB) at 230 passing yards and 19 rushing yards, Travis Etienne (RB) at 57 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards; Baltimore Ravens — Lamar Jackson (QB) at 205 passing yards and 31 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 84 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at M&T Bank Stadium.
Final: New Orleans Saints won 24-17 (away, under).
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
ATS: away. Total: under.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | BAL -8.5 (open -7.5) |
| Total | 45.5 (open 46.5) |
| Moneyline (NO / BAL) | +320 / -410 |
| BAL implied win probability | 77% |
| Implied team totals (NO — BAL) | 18.5 — 27.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.