Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 2 2026

Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Gillette Stadium

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How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Steelers3market had 18.5
Final
Patriots20market had 23.0
SpreadNE -4.5
Total41.5
Moneyline+187 / -225
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes New England Patriots a 4.5-point favorite over Pittsburgh Steelers, with the game total at 41.5.

Moneylines sit at +187 for Pittsburgh Steelers and -225 for New England Patriots, a devigged 67% win probability for New England Patriots; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 18.5 for Pittsburgh Steelers and 23 for New England Patriots.

The total has moved from 43.5 to 41.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 168 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 46 rushing yards and 26 receiving yards; New England Patriots — Drake Maye (QB) at 215 passing yards and 29 rushing yards, Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) at 60 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Gillette Stadium, New England Patriots take the extra rest, 11 days to 7.

Final: New England Patriots won 20-3; New England Patriots covered the spread (NE -4.5) and the game went under the 41.5 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

PIT 3 — NE 20

New England Patriots covered the spread (NE -4.5) and the game went under the 41.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Steelers at Patriots — lines as of Sun, 9/20 · 1:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadNE -4.5
Total41.5 (open 43.5)
Moneyline (PIT / NE)+187 / -225
NE implied win probability67%
Implied team totals (PIT — NE)18.5 — 23.0

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Steelers and Patriots this season

Games before Week 2. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Pittsburgh Steelers1-01-00-120.013.07
New England Patriots0-10-0-10-110.013.011

Steelers' last game: W 20-13 vs ATL.

Patriots' last game: L 10-13 @ SEA.

Pre-game injury report

Pittsburgh Steelers

Inactive: Drew Allar (QB), Michael Pittman Jr. (WR), Gabriel Rubio (DE), Gennings Dunker (G), Joey Porter Jr. (CB), Kevin Jobity Jr. (DT).

New England Patriots

Inactive: Behren Morton (QB), Tanner Arkin (TE), Carlton Davis III (CB), Dametrious Crownover (T), Leonard Taylor III (DT).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 9/20 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Pittsburgh Steelers · 18.5 market-implied pts
Aaron Rodgers (QB) — 168 pass yds · 6 rush yds
Jaylen Warren (RB) — 46 rush yds · 26 rec yds
DK Metcalf (WR) — 64 rec yds · 4.9 rec
New England Patriots · 23.0 market-implied pts
Drake Maye (QB) — 215 pass yds · 29 rush yds
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) — 60 rush yds · 22 rec yds
Romeo Doubs (WR) — 52 rec yds · 4.0 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Steelers @ Patriots, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Steelers @ Patriots matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 2 games

← Week 1 · Week 3 → · Full 2026 schedule

Steelers 2026 schedule

Patriots 2026 schedule