Thursday, December 10, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT · Gillette Stadium
The market makes New England Patriots a 4.5-point favourite over Minnesota Vikings, with the game total at 43.5.
Moneylines sit at +180 for Minnesota Vikings and -218 for New England Patriots, a devigged 66% win probability for New England Patriots; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19.5 for Minnesota Vikings and 24 for New England Patriots.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Minnesota Vikings — Carson Wentz (QB) at 179 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Aaron Jones (RB) at 71 rushing yards and 11 receiving yards; New England Patriots — Drake Maye (QB) at 222 passing yards and 29 rushing yards, Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) at 45 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Thursday, December 10, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT, at Gillette Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | NE -4.5 |
| Total | 43.5 |
| Moneyline (MIN / NE) | +180 / -218 |
| NE implied win probability | 66% |
| Implied team totals (MIN — NE) | 19.5 — 24.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.