Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT · Estadio Banorte · neutral site
The market makes San Francisco 49ers a 3.8-point favourite over Minnesota Vikings, with the game total at 46.5.
Moneylines sit at +163 for Minnesota Vikings and -193 for San Francisco 49ers, a devigged 63% win probability for San Francisco 49ers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.4 for Minnesota Vikings and 25.1 for San Francisco 49ers.
The total has moved from 47 to 46.5.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Minnesota Vikings — Carson Wentz (QB) at 181 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Aaron Jones (RB) at 73 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards; San Francisco 49ers — Brock Purdy (QB) at 230 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Christian McCaffrey (RB) at 45 rushing yards and 33 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT, at the neutral site Neutral.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | SF -3.75 |
| Total | 46.5 (open 47) |
| Moneyline (MIN / SF) | +163 / -193 |
| SF implied win probability | 63% |
| Implied team totals (MIN — SF) | 21.4 — 25.1 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.