Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Ford Field (indoors)
The market makes Detroit Lions a 4.5-point favourite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the game total at 49.5.
Moneylines sit at +185 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and -225 for Detroit Lions, a devigged 66% win probability for Detroit Lions; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and 27 for Detroit Lions.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield (QB) at 250 passing yards and 21 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 58 rushing yards and 28 receiving yards; Detroit Lions — Jared Goff (QB) at 273 passing yards and 4 rushing yards, Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) at 89 rushing yards and 35 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Ford Field, indoors, Tampa Bay Buccaneers take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DET -4.5 |
| Total | 49.5 |
| Moneyline (TB / DET) | +185 / -225 |
| DET implied win probability | 66% |
| Implied team totals (TB — DET) | 22.5 — 27.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.