New York Jets @ Los Angeles Chargers — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 11 2026

Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 3:05 PM CT · SoFi Stadium (indoors)

Game preview

The market makes Los Angeles Chargers a 9.5-point favourite over New York Jets, with the game total at 41.5.

Moneylines sit at +330 for New York Jets and -425 for Los Angeles Chargers, a devigged 78% win probability for Los Angeles Chargers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 16 for New York Jets and 25.5 for Los Angeles Chargers.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 203 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards; Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 205 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 64 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 3:05 PM CT, at SoFi Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Jets at Chargers — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadLAC -9.5
Total41.5
Moneyline (NYJ / LAC)+330 / -425
LAC implied win probability78%
Implied team totals (NYJ — LAC)16.0 — 25.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

New York Jets · 16.0 proj pts
Geno Smith (QB) — 203 pass yds · 11 rush yds
Breece Hall (RB) — 68 rush yds · 21 rec yds
Garrett Wilson (WR) — 57 rec yds · 4.8 rec
Los Angeles Chargers · 25.5 proj pts
Justin Herbert (QB) — 205 pass yds · 20 rush yds
Omarion Hampton (RB) — 64 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Ladd McConkey (WR) — 48 rec yds · 3.9 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 11 games

← Week 10 · Week 12 → · Full 2026 schedule