Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 18 2026

Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET · Empower Field at Mile High

Prediction: Broncos 22, Chargers 20 (market-implied). The market gives the Denver Broncos a 53% chance to win. · Updated

The full matchup dashboard

Every angle of Chargers @ Broncos, on one screen.

Chargers20.0win 47%
Market-implied score
Broncos21.5win 53%
SpreadDEN -1.5
Total41.5
Moneyline+102 / -122
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Chargers vs Broncos prediction

The market makes Denver Broncos a 1.5-point favorite over Los Angeles Chargers, with the game total at 41.5.

Moneylines sit at +102 for Los Angeles Chargers and -122 for Denver Broncos, a devigged 53% win probability for Denver Broncos; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20 for Los Angeles Chargers and 21.5 for Denver Broncos.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 213 passing yards and 23 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 54 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards; Denver Broncos — Bo Nix (QB) at 202 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Jonah Coleman (RB) at 49 rushing yards and 18 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET, at Empower Field at Mile High.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Chargers at Broncos — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadDEN -1.5
Total41.5
Moneyline (LAC / DEN)+102 / -122
DEN implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (LAC — DEN)20.0 — 21.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Chargers and Broncos this season

Games before Week 18. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Los Angeles Chargers0-80-7-12-615.127.47
Denver Broncos7-27-24-522.020.77

Chargers' last 3 games: L 22-44 vs HOU · L 9-24 @ LA · L 6-22 @ KC.

Broncos' last 3 games: W 26-21 @ CAR · W 28-24 vs KC · W 30-16 @ ARI.

Player projections

Los Angeles Chargers · 20.0 market-implied pts
Justin Herbert (QB) — 213 pass yds · 23 rush yds
Omarion Hampton (RB) — 54 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Ladd McConkey (WR) — 40 rec yds · 3.5 rec
Denver Broncos · 21.5 market-implied pts
Bo Nix (QB) — 202 pass yds · 16 rush yds
Jonah Coleman (RB) — 49 rush yds · 18 rec yds
J.K. Dobbins (RB) — 43 rush yds · 7 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Chargers @ Broncos, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Chargers @ Broncos matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 18 games

← Week 17 · Full 2026 schedule

Chargers 2026 schedule

Broncos 2026 schedule