Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 18 2026

Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · Empower Field at Mile High

Game preview

The market makes Denver Broncos a 1.5-point favourite over Los Angeles Chargers, with the game total at 41.5.

Moneylines sit at +102 for Los Angeles Chargers and -122 for Denver Broncos, a devigged 53% win probability for Denver Broncos; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20 for Los Angeles Chargers and 21.5 for Denver Broncos.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 192 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 71 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards; Denver Broncos — Bo Nix (QB) at 200 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, J.K. Dobbins (RB) at 54 rushing yards and 6 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at Empower Field at Mile High.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Chargers at Broncos — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadDEN -1.5
Total41.5
Moneyline (LAC / DEN)+102 / -122
DEN implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (LAC — DEN)20.0 — 21.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Los Angeles Chargers · 20.0 proj pts
Justin Herbert (QB) — 192 pass yds · 20 rush yds
Omarion Hampton (RB) — 71 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Ladd McConkey (WR) — 45 rec yds · 3.8 rec
Denver Broncos · 21.5 proj pts
Bo Nix (QB) — 200 pass yds · 16 rush yds
J.K. Dobbins (RB) — 54 rush yds · 6 rec yds
Jaylen Waddle (WR) — 52 rec yds · 3.9 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 18 games

← Week 17 · Full 2026 schedule