Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 3:05 PM CT · SoFi Stadium (indoors)
The market makes Los Angeles Chargers a 2.5-point favourite over Houston Texans, with the game total at 43.5.
Moneylines sit at +114 for Houston Texans and -135 for Los Angeles Chargers, a devigged 55% win probability for Los Angeles Chargers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.5 for Houston Texans and 23 for Los Angeles Chargers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 261 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Nico Collins (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 79 receiving yards; Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 210 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 3:05 PM CT, at SoFi Stadium, indoors, Houston Texans take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | LAC -2.5 |
| Total | 43.5 |
| Moneyline (HOU / LAC) | +114 / -135 |
| LAC implied win probability | 55% |
| Implied team totals (HOU — LAC) | 20.5 — 23.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.