Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT · SoFi Stadium (indoors)
The market makes Los Angeles Chargers a 1.5-point favourite over New England Patriots, with the game total at 45.5.
Moneylines sit at +105 for New England Patriots and -125 for Los Angeles Chargers, a devigged 53% win probability for Los Angeles Chargers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22 for New England Patriots and 23.5 for Los Angeles Chargers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New England Patriots — Drake Maye (QB) at 222 passing yards and 29 rushing yards, Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) at 49 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards; Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 200 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 67 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT, at SoFi Stadium, indoors, New England Patriots take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | LAC -1.5 |
| Total | 45.5 |
| Moneyline (NE / LAC) | +105 / -125 |
| LAC implied win probability | 53% |
| Implied team totals (NE — LAC) | 22.0 — 23.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.