Friday, November 27, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Acrisure Stadium
The market makes Denver Broncos a 1.5-point favourite over Pittsburgh Steelers, with the game total at 39.5.
Moneylines sit at -118 for Denver Broncos and -101 for Pittsburgh Steelers, a devigged 48% win probability for Pittsburgh Steelers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.5 for Denver Broncos and 19 for Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Denver Broncos — Bo Nix (QB) at 190 passing yards and 15 rushing yards, J.K. Dobbins (RB) at 52 rushing yards and 6 receiving yards; Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 169 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 50 rushing yards and 25 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Friday, November 27, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT, at Acrisure Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DEN -1.5 |
| Total | 39.5 |
| Moneyline (DEN / PIT) | -118 / -101 |
| PIT implied win probability | 48% |
| Implied team totals (DEN — PIT) | 20.5 — 19.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.