Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Acrisure Stadium
The market makes Pittsburgh Steelers a 2.5-point favourite over Indianapolis Colts, with the game total at 47.5.
Moneylines sit at +120 for Indianapolis Colts and -142 for Pittsburgh Steelers, a devigged 56% win probability for Pittsburgh Steelers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for Indianapolis Colts and 25 for Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 219 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 82 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards; Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 198 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 49 rushing yards and 25 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh Steelers take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | PIT -2.5 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Moneyline (IND / PIT) | +120 / -142 |
| PIT implied win probability | 56% |
| Implied team totals (IND — PIT) | 22.5 — 25.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.