Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 5 2026

Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Acrisure Stadium

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Colts22market had 19.3
Final
Steelers34market had 22.3
SpreadPIT -3
Total41.5
Moneyline+135 / -156
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Pittsburgh Steelers a 3-point favorite over Indianapolis Colts, with the game total at 41.5.

Moneylines sit at +135 for Indianapolis Colts and -156 for Pittsburgh Steelers, a devigged 59% win probability for Pittsburgh Steelers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19.3 for Indianapolis Colts and 22.3 for Pittsburgh Steelers.

The spread has moved from PIT -2.5 to PIT -3 since it opened and the total has moved from 44.5 to 41.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 217 passing yards and 13 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 87 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards; Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 188 passing yards and 5 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 71 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh Steelers take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

Final: Pittsburgh Steelers won 34-22; Pittsburgh Steelers covered the spread (PIT -3) and the game went over the 41.5 total.

From the blog: NFL Week 5 preview: every line, every matchup and where I'm leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

IND 22 — PIT 34

Pittsburgh Steelers covered the spread (PIT -3) and the game went over the 41.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Colts at Steelers — lines as of Sun, 10/11 · 1:02 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadPIT -3 (open PIT -2.5)
Total41.5 (open 44.5)
Moneyline (IND / PIT)+135 / -156
PIT implied win probability59%
Implied team totals (IND — PIT)19.3 — 22.3

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Colts and Steelers this season

Games before Week 5. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Indianapolis Colts2-23-12-225.526.07
Pittsburgh Steelers2-22-22-219.321.810

Colts' last 3 games: W 30-13 @ WAS · W 19-17 vs HOU · L 30-33 @ KC.

Steelers' last 3 games: L 24-27 @ CLE · W 30-27 vs CIN · L 3-20 @ NE.

Pre-game injury report

Indianapolis Colts

Inactive: Riley Leonard (QB), Ashton Dulin (WR), Darius Slayton (WR), Dalton Tucker (G), Jaylon Carlies (LB).

Pittsburgh Steelers

Inactive: Will Howard (QB), Eli Heidenreich (RB), Jamel Dean (CB), Terell Smith (CB).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/11 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Indianapolis Colts · 19.3 market-implied pts
Daniel Jones (QB) — 217 pass yds · 13 rush yds
Jonathan Taylor (RB) — 87 rush yds · 21 rec yds
Josh Downs (WR) — 60 rec yds · 4.9 rec
Pittsburgh Steelers · 22.3 market-implied pts
Aaron Rodgers (QB) — 188 pass yds · 5 rush yds
Jaylen Warren (RB) — 71 rush yds · 20 rec yds
DK Metcalf (WR) — 48 rec yds · 4.4 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Colts @ Steelers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Colts @ Steelers matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 5 games

← Week 4 · Week 6 → · Full 2026 schedule

Colts 2026 schedule

Steelers 2026 schedule