Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 5 2026

Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Browns12market had 18.0
Final
Jets17market had 20.5
SpreadNYJ -2.5
Total38.5
Moneyline+120 / -145
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Game preview

The market makes New York Jets a 2.5-point favorite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 38.5.

Moneylines sit at +120 for Cleveland Browns and -145 for New York Jets, a devigged 57% win probability for New York Jets; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 18 for Cleveland Browns and 20.5 for New York Jets.

The spread has moved from NYJ -2 to NYJ -2.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 40 to 38.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Cleveland Browns — Deshaun Watson (QB) at 199 passing yards and 27 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 54 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards; New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 196 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Braelon Allen (RB) at 71 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at MetLife Stadium, Cleveland Browns take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

Final: New York Jets won 17-12; New York Jets covered the spread (NYJ -2.5) and the game went under the 38.5 total.

From the blog: NFL Week 5 preview: every line, every matchup and where I'm leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

CLE 12 — NYJ 17

New York Jets covered the spread (NYJ -2.5) and the game went under the 38.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Browns at Jets — lines as of Sun, 10/11 · 1:02 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadNYJ -2.5 (open NYJ -2)
Total38.5 (open 40)
Moneyline (CLE / NYJ)+120 / -145
NYJ implied win probability57%
Implied team totals (CLE — NYJ)18.0 — 20.5

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Browns and Jets this season

Games before Week 5. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Cleveland Browns3-13-13-120.323.810
New York Jets1-31-1-21-319.021.07

Browns' last 3 games: W 27-24 vs PIT · W 21-18 vs CAR · W 23-19 @ TB.

Jets' last 3 games: L 12-23 @ CHI · L 24-31 @ DET · L 17-20 vs GB.

Pre-game injury report

Cleveland Browns

Inactive: Taylen Green (QB), Tylan Wallace (WR), Carsen Ryan (TE), Mason Graham (DT), Mike Hall Jr. (DT), Teven Jenkins (G).

New York Jets

Inactive: Adonai Mitchell (WR), Dylan Parham (G), Kiko Mauigoa (LB), Nate Lynn (DE).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/11 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Cleveland Browns · 18.0 market-implied pts
Deshaun Watson (QB) — 199 pass yds · 27 rush yds
Quinshon Judkins (RB) — 54 rush yds · 19 rec yds
KC Concepcion (WR) — 4 rush yds · 48 rec yds
New York Jets · 20.5 market-implied pts
Geno Smith (QB) — 196 pass yds · 10 rush yds
Braelon Allen (RB) — 71 rush yds · 16 rec yds
Garrett Wilson (WR) — 63 rec yds · 5.3 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Browns @ Jets, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Browns @ Jets matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 5 games

← Week 4 · Week 6 → · Full 2026 schedule

Browns 2026 schedule

Jets 2026 schedule