Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · MetLife Stadium
The market makes New York Jets a 1.5-point favourite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 39.5.
Moneylines sit at +110 for Cleveland Browns and -130 for New York Jets, a devigged 54% win probability for New York Jets; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19 for Cleveland Browns and 20.5 for New York Jets.
The spread has moved from -2.5 to -1.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 40.5 to 39.5.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Cleveland Browns — Deshaun Watson (QB) at 196 passing yards and 25 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 43 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards; New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 197 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 67 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at MetLife Stadium, Cleveland Browns take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | NYJ -1.5 (open -2.5) |
| Total | 39.5 (open 40.5) |
| Moneyline (CLE / NYJ) | +110 / -130 |
| NYJ implied win probability | 54% |
| Implied team totals (CLE — NYJ) | 19.0 — 20.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.