Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · MetLife Stadium
The market makes Buffalo Bills a 7-point favourite over New York Jets, with the game total at 46.5.
Moneylines sit at -340 for Buffalo Bills and +270 for New York Jets, a devigged 26% win probability for New York Jets; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 26.8 for Buffalo Bills and 19.8 for New York Jets.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Buffalo Bills — Josh Allen (QB) at 235 passing yards and 31 rushing yards, James Cook (RB) at 67 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards; New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 203 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 66 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at MetLife Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | BUF -7 |
| Total | 46.5 |
| Moneyline (BUF / NYJ) | -340 / +270 |
| NYJ implied win probability | 26% |
| Implied team totals (BUF — NYJ) | 26.8 — 19.8 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.