Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Soldier Field
The market makes Chicago Bears a 3.5-point favourite over New York Jets, with the game total at 43.5.
Moneylines sit at +150 for New York Jets and -182 for Chicago Bears, a devigged 62% win probability for Chicago Bears; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20 for New York Jets and 23.5 for Chicago Bears.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 207 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards; Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 223 passing yards and 25 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Soldier Field.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CHI -3.5 |
| Total | 43.5 |
| Moneyline (NYJ / CHI) | +150 / -182 |
| CHI implied win probability | 62% |
| Implied team totals (NYJ — CHI) | 20.0 — 23.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.