Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 5 2026

Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Lambeau Field

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Bears7market had 24.0
Final
Packers31market had 23.0
SpreadCHI -1
Total47
Moneyline-120 / +100
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Game preview

The market makes Chicago Bears a 1-point favorite over Green Bay Packers, with the game total at 47.

Moneylines sit at -120 for Chicago Bears and +100 for Green Bay Packers, a devigged 48% win probability for Green Bay Packers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24 for Chicago Bears and 23 for Green Bay Packers.

The spread has moved from GB -2.5 to CHI -1 since it opened and the total has moved from 45.5 to 47.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Chicago Bears — Tyson Bagent (QB) at 236 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 80 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards; Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 239 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Christian Watson (WR) at 68 receiving yards and 4.6 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Lambeau Field.

Final: Green Bay Packers won 31-7; Green Bay Packers covered the spread (CHI -1) and the game went under the 47 total.

From the blog: NFL Week 5 preview: every line, every matchup and where I'm leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

CHI 7 — GB 31

Green Bay Packers covered the spread (CHI -1) and the game went under the 47 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Bears at Packers — lines as of Sun, 10/11 · 1:02 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadCHI -1 (open GB -2.5)
Total47 (open 45.5)
Moneyline (CHI / GB)-120 / +100
GB implied win probability48%
Implied team totals (CHI — GB)24.0 — 23.0

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Bears and Packers this season

Games before Week 5. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Chicago Bears3-13-11-328.016.37
Green Bay Packers2-21-2-12-218.326.37

Bears' last 3 games: W 23-12 vs NYJ · W 27-7 vs PHI · L 3-9 vs MIN.

Packers' last 3 games: W 17-14 @ TB · L 14-35 vs ATL · W 20-17 @ NYJ.

Pre-game injury report

Chicago Bears

Inactive: Caleb Williams (QB), Kyle Monangai (RB), Jamree Kromah (DE), Jayden Loving (DT), Keyshaun Elliott (LB), Ozzy Trapilo (T).

Green Bay Packers

Inactive: Aaron Banks (G), Anthony Campbell (DT), Donovan Jennings (G).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/11 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Chicago Bears · 24.0 market-implied pts
Tyson Bagent (QB) — 236 pass yds · 9 rush yds
D'Andre Swift (RB) — 80 rush yds · 19 rec yds
Rome Odunze (WR) — 54 rec yds · 3.6 rec
Green Bay Packers · 23.0 market-implied pts
Jordan Love (QB) — 239 pass yds · 8 rush yds
Christian Watson (WR) — 68 rec yds · 4.6 rec
Matthew Golden (WR) — 1 rush yds · 55 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Bears @ Packers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Bears @ Packers matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 5 games

← Week 4 · Week 6 → · Full 2026 schedule

Bears 2026 schedule

Packers 2026 schedule