Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · Lambeau Field
The market makes Green Bay Packers a 3-point favourite over Chicago Bears, with the game total at 49.5.
Moneylines sit at +140 for Chicago Bears and -166 for Green Bay Packers, a devigged 60% win probability for Green Bay Packers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23.3 for Chicago Bears and 26.3 for Green Bay Packers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 234 passing yards and 27 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 64 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards; Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 255 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Christian Watson (WR) at 72 receiving yards and 4.7 catches.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at Lambeau Field.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | GB -3 |
| Total | 49.5 |
| Moneyline (CHI / GB) | +140 / -166 |
| GB implied win probability | 60% |
| Implied team totals (CHI — GB) | 23.3 — 26.3 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.