Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 3:25 PM CT · Soldier Field
The market makes Chicago Bears a 1.5-point favourite over Detroit Lions, with the game total at 49.5.
Moneylines sit at +105 for Detroit Lions and -125 for Chicago Bears, a devigged 53% win probability for Chicago Bears; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24 for Detroit Lions and 25.5 for Chicago Bears.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Detroit Lions — Jared Goff (QB) at 271 passing yards and 4 rushing yards, Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) at 93 rushing yards and 34 receiving yards; Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 256 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 65 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 3:25 PM CT, at Soldier Field, Chicago Bears take the extra rest, 9 days to 6.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CHI -1.5 |
| Total | 49.5 |
| Moneyline (DET / CHI) | +105 / -125 |
| CHI implied win probability | 53% |
| Implied team totals (DET — CHI) | 24.0 — 25.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.