Indianapolis Colts @ Cleveland Browns — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 17 2026

Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET · Huntington Bank Field

Prediction: Colts 23, Browns 21 (market-implied). The market gives the Indianapolis Colts a 55% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Colts @ Browns, on one screen.

Colts23.0win 55%
Market-implied score
Browns20.5win 45%
SpreadIND -2.5
Total43.5
Moneyline-135 / +114
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Colts vs Browns prediction

The market makes Indianapolis Colts a 2.5-point favorite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 43.5.

Moneylines sit at -135 for Indianapolis Colts and +114 for Cleveland Browns, a devigged 45% win probability for Cleveland Browns; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23 for Indianapolis Colts and 20.5 for Cleveland Browns.

The total has moved from 42.5 to 43.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 215 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 71 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards; Cleveland Browns — Shedeur Sanders (QB) at 225 passing yards and 21 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET, at Huntington Bank Field.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Colts at Browns — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadIND -2.5
Total43.5 (open 42.5)
Moneyline (IND / CLE)-135 / +114
CLE implied win probability45%
Implied team totals (IND — CLE)23.0 — 20.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Colts and Browns this season

Games before Week 17. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Indianapolis Colts2-74-55-420.427.77
Cleveland Browns5-46-35-417.921.87

Colts' last 3 games: L 23-27 vs DAL · L 7-42 @ JAX · L 10-16 @ MIN.

Browns' last 3 games: L 22-23 @ NO · L 6-27 @ PIT · W 27-24 @ TEN.

Player projections

Indianapolis Colts · 23.0 market-implied pts
Daniel Jones (QB) — 215 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Jonathan Taylor (RB) — 71 rush yds · 21 rec yds
Tyler Warren (TE) — 1 rush yds · 46 rec yds
Cleveland Browns · 20.5 market-implied pts
Shedeur Sanders (QB) — 225 pass yds · 21 rush yds
Quinshon Judkins (RB) — 56 rush yds · 13 rec yds
Denzel Boston (WR) — 53 rec yds · 4.0 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Colts @ Browns, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Colts @ Browns matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 17 games

← Week 16 · Week 18 → · Full 2026 schedule

Colts 2026 schedule

Browns 2026 schedule