Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · Huntington Bank Field
The market makes Indianapolis Colts a 2.5-point favourite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 43.5.
Moneylines sit at -135 for Indianapolis Colts and +114 for Cleveland Browns, a devigged 45% win probability for Cleveland Browns; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23 for Indianapolis Colts and 20.5 for Cleveland Browns.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 216 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 86 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards; Cleveland Browns — Deshaun Watson (QB) at 212 passing yards and 27 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 48 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at Huntington Bank Field.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | IND -2.5 |
| Total | 43.5 |
| Moneyline (IND / CLE) | -135 / +114 |
| CLE implied win probability | 45% |
| Implied team totals (IND — CLE) | 23.0 — 20.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.