Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tennessee Titans — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 17 2026

Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET · Nissan Stadium

Prediction: Steelers 22, Titans 21 (market-implied). The market gives the Pittsburgh Steelers a 53% chance to win. · Updated

The full matchup dashboard

Every angle of Steelers @ Titans, on one screen.

Steelers22.0win 53%
Market-implied score
Titans20.5win 47%
SpreadPIT -1.5
Total42.5
Moneyline-122 / +102
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Steelers vs Titans prediction

The market makes Pittsburgh Steelers a 1.5-point favorite over Tennessee Titans, with the game total at 42.5.

Moneylines sit at -122 for Pittsburgh Steelers and +102 for Tennessee Titans, a devigged 47% win probability for Tennessee Titans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22 for Pittsburgh Steelers and 20.5 for Tennessee Titans.

The total has moved from 41.5 to 42.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 177 passing yards and 5 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 62 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards; Tennessee Titans — Cam Ward (QB) at 201 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Tony Pollard (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET, at Nissan Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Steelers at Titans — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadPIT -1.5 (open PIT -1.25)
Total42.5 (open 41.5)
Moneyline (PIT / TEN)-122 / +102
TEN implied win probability47%
Implied team totals (PIT — TEN)22.0 — 20.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Steelers and Titans this season

Games before Week 17. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Pittsburgh Steelers6-26-24-422.518.07
Tennessee Titans1-74-44-418.024.97

Steelers' last 3 games: W 27-6 vs CLE · W 16-10 @ NO · W 26-19 @ TB.

Titans' last 3 games: L 36-43 @ CIN · L 24-27 vs CLE · W 26-20 @ IND.

Player projections

Pittsburgh Steelers · 22.0 market-implied pts
Aaron Rodgers (QB) — 177 pass yds · 5 rush yds
Jaylen Warren (RB) — 62 rush yds · 20 rec yds
DK Metcalf (WR) — 1 rush yds · 48 rec yds
Tennessee Titans · 20.5 market-implied pts
Cam Ward (QB) — 201 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Tony Pollard (RB) — 68 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Carnell Tate (WR) — 51 rec yds · 4.6 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Steelers @ Titans, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Steelers @ Titans matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 17 games

← Week 16 · Week 18 → · Full 2026 schedule

Steelers 2026 schedule

Titans 2026 schedule