Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Acrisure Stadium
The market makes Cincinnati Bengals a 3.5-point favourite over Pittsburgh Steelers, with the game total at 42.5.
Moneylines sit at -185 for Cincinnati Bengals and +155 for Pittsburgh Steelers, a devigged 38% win probability for Pittsburgh Steelers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23 for Cincinnati Bengals and 19.5 for Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 222 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Chase Brown (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 24 receiving yards; Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 195 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 72 rushing yards and 26 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Acrisure Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -3.5 |
| Total | 42.5 (open 42.75) |
| Moneyline (CIN / PIT) | -185 / +155 |
| PIT implied win probability | 38% |
| Implied team totals (CIN — PIT) | 23.0 — 19.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.