Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 15 2026

Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Acrisure Stadium

Prediction: Ravens 25, Steelers 22 (market-implied). The market gives the Baltimore Ravens a 57% chance to win. · Updated

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Ravens24.5win 57%
Market-implied score
Steelers22.0win 43%
SpreadBAL -2.5
Total46.5
Moneyline-148 / +124
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Ravens vs Steelers prediction

The market makes Baltimore Ravens a 2.5-point favorite over Pittsburgh Steelers, with the game total at 46.5.

Moneylines sit at -148 for Baltimore Ravens and +124 for Pittsburgh Steelers, a devigged 43% win probability for Pittsburgh Steelers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24.5 for Baltimore Ravens and 22 for Pittsburgh Steelers.

The total has moved from 45 to 46.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Baltimore Ravens — Joe Fagnano (QB) at 204 passing yards and 13 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 79 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards; Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 169 passing yards and 5 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Acrisure Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Ravens at Steelers — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadBAL -2.5 (open BAL -2.75)
Total46.5 (open 45)
Moneyline (BAL / PIT)-148 / +124
PIT implied win probability43%
Implied team totals (BAL — PIT)24.5 — 22.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Ravens and Steelers this season

Games before Week 15. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Baltimore Ravens4-52-75-421.026.27
Pittsburgh Steelers6-26-24-422.518.06

Ravens' last 3 games: L 10-33 vs JAX · L 10-36 @ BUF · L 13-35 vs CIN.

Steelers' last 3 games: W 27-6 vs CLE · W 16-10 @ NO · W 26-19 @ TB.

Player projections

Baltimore Ravens · 24.5 market-implied pts
Joe Fagnano (QB) — 204 pass yds · 13 rush yds
Derrick Henry (RB) — 79 rush yds · 10 rec yds
Zay Flowers (WR) — 3 rush yds · 69 rec yds
Pittsburgh Steelers · 22.0 market-implied pts
Aaron Rodgers (QB) — 169 pass yds · 5 rush yds
Jaylen Warren (RB) — 61 rush yds · 19 rec yds
Rico Dowdle (RB) — 33 rush yds · 13 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Ravens @ Steelers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Ravens @ Steelers matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 15 games

← Week 14 · Week 16 → · Full 2026 schedule

Ravens 2026 schedule

Steelers 2026 schedule