Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · M&T Bank Stadium
The market makes Baltimore Ravens a 10.5-point favourite over Tennessee Titans, with the game total at 44.5.
Moneylines sit at +460 for Tennessee Titans and -670 for Baltimore Ravens, a devigged 83% win probability for Baltimore Ravens; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 17 for Tennessee Titans and 27.5 for Baltimore Ravens.
The spread has moved from -10 to -10.5 since it opened.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Tennessee Titans — Cam Ward (QB) at 184 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Tony Pollard (RB) at 46 rushing yards and 11 receiving yards; Baltimore Ravens — Lamar Jackson (QB) at 227 passing yards and 32 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 91 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at M&T Bank Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | BAL -10.5 (open -10) |
| Total | 44.5 |
| Moneyline (TEN / BAL) | +460 / -670 |
| BAL implied win probability | 83% |
| Implied team totals (TEN — BAL) | 17.0 — 27.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.