NFL Power Ratings
Fundamental team ratings with offense and defense splits, and the implied spread for any matchup.
Matchup predictor@BUF -0.5 · KC wins 48% (+4.5 vs +6.8, +1.8 HFA)
NFL · 32 teams
Ratings as of 2026-11-10 · unit columns from the 2026 season| # | Team | Overall | Off | Def | Passing | Rushing | Pass pro | Pass D | Run D | Pass rush | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAXJaguars | +7.9 | 26.6 | 18.9 | +0.438 | +0.009 | 5.2% | +0.023 | -0.172 | 5.5% | |
| 2 | BUFBills | +6.8 | 27.6 | 21.0 | +0.402 | +0.003 | 6.2% | +0.165 | -0.081 | 5.2% | |
| 3 | SF49ers | +5.4 | 26.5 | 21.4 | +0.366 | +0.018 | 3.1% | +0.099 | -0.170 | 5.0% | |
| 4 | CHIBears | +5.3 | 25.8 | 20.8 | +0.214 | -0.037 | 5.6% | +0.107 | -0.087 | 8.7% | |
| 5 | DETLions | +5.2 | 26.4 | 21.5 | +0.367 | -0.044 | 6.4% | +0.385 | -0.105 | 7.7% | |
| 6 | LARams | +5.0 | 25.4 | 20.5 | +0.142 | +0.013 | 3.6% | -0.027 | -0.176 | 4.9% | |
| 7 | SEASeahawks | +4.9 | 23.7 | 19.0 | +0.156 | -0.202 | 6.0% | +0.051 | -0.112 | 6.6% | |
| 8 | KCChiefs | +4.5 | 25.3 | 21.0 | +0.296 | +0.074 | 3.8% | +0.071 | -0.156 | 4.6% | |
| 9 | CINBengals | +3.9 | 26.6 | 22.9 | +0.381 | -0.095 | 4.7% | +0.231 | -0.044 | 7.3% | |
| 10 | NEPatriots | +3.6 | 24.5 | 21.2 | +0.304 | -0.123 | 6.1% | +0.351 | -0.110 | 7.8% | |
| 11 | GBPackers | +2.8 | 24.2 | 21.7 | +0.295 | -0.242 | 4.7% | +0.083 | -0.080 | 7.1% | |
| 12 | HOUTexans | +2.6 | 23.6 | 21.2 | +0.332 | -0.144 | 5.2% | +0.249 | -0.076 | 9.3% | |
| 13 | DENBroncos | +2.6 | 23.4 | 21.1 | +0.156 | -0.071 | 3.6% | +0.162 | -0.020 | 6.8% | |
| 14 | PITSteelers | +1.4 | 22.2 | 20.9 | +0.085 | +0.114 | 7.3% | +0.109 | -0.161 | 8.2% | |
| 15 | TBBuccaneers | +1.1 | 21.1 | 20.2 | -0.061 | -0.012 | 9.2% | -0.074 | -0.158 | 5.1% | |
| 16 | DALCowboys | +1.1 | 25.2 | 24.3 | +0.253 | -0.009 | 3.8% | +0.303 | -0.020 | 5.1% | |
| 17 | CARPanthers | -1.1 | 22.8 | 24.1 | +0.308 | -0.036 | 7.5% | +0.165 | -0.032 | 3.9% | |
| 18 | MINVikings | -1.4 | 18.3 | 19.9 | +0.003 | -0.202 | 8.7% | +0.037 | -0.106 | 10.7% | |
| 19 | WASCommanders | -2.4 | 21.5 | 24.2 | +0.163 | -0.138 | 6.4% | +0.173 | -0.060 | 5.1% | |
| 20 | ATLFalcons | -2.5 | 20.3 | 23.0 | -0.020 | -0.000 | 5.7% | +0.201 | -0.065 | 5.8% | |
| 21 | NYGGiants | -2.6 | 20.1 | 22.9 | +0.227 | -0.114 | 9.0% | +0.053 | -0.093 | 5.6% | |
| 22 | NOSaints | -2.8 | 20.9 | 24.0 | +0.166 | -0.140 | 5.9% | +0.264 | -0.020 | 7.7% | |
| 23 | INDColts | -3.0 | 20.4 | 23.6 | -0.019 | +0.009 | 7.3% | +0.258 | +0.016 | 6.4% | |
| 24 | NYJJets | -3.2 | 20.6 | 24.0 | +0.333 | -0.116 | 9.0% | +0.311 | -0.096 | 7.1% | |
| 25 | LVRaiders | -3.7 | 21.1 | 24.9 | +0.204 | -0.215 | 3.3% | +0.376 | -0.036 | 6.0% | |
| 26 | LACChargers | -5.1 | 17.6 | 23.0 | -0.062 | -0.248 | 10.5% | +0.187 | -0.062 | 5.1% | |
| 27 | MIADolphins | -5.2 | 18.8 | 24.2 | +0.117 | -0.111 | 9.4% | +0.425 | -0.060 | 4.9% | |
| 28 | PHIEagles | -5.6 | 17.4 | 23.1 | -0.009 | -0.162 | 8.5% | +0.267 | +0.000 | 4.8% | |
| 29 | ARICardinals | -6.0 | 18.5 | 24.8 | +0.097 | -0.058 | 6.0% | +0.380 | -0.141 | 6.6% | |
| 30 | CLEBrowns | -6.2 | 16.9 | 23.3 | +0.186 | -0.202 | 10.8% | +0.138 | -0.016 | 7.7% | |
| 31 | TENTitans | -6.4 | 18.3 | 24.9 | -0.004 | -0.083 | 4.7% | +0.339 | -0.072 | 6.6% | |
| 32 | BALRavens | -6.9 | 15.7 | 22.9 | +0.209 | -0.079 | 8.0% | +0.250 | -0.075 | 5.2% |
Overall = points better (+) or worse (−) than average on a neutral field; two teams' gap + +1.8 home-field = our predicted spread. Off, Def and the unit columns are colored by league rank (hover for the rank); grouped views show the rank within the group and the league rank in parentheses.
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Team ratings from an efficiency model — offense and defense rated separately on the point-spread scale, adjusted for every opponent faced, with the starting quarterback rated on his own — with a predictor that converts them into an implied spread and win probability for any matchup. Unit sub-ratings are descriptive season aggregates. Market-free by design and validated against closing spreads out of sample.
What these numbers mean: how sportsbooks set lines · model calibration.