NFL Power Ratings
Fundamental team ratings with offense and defense splits, and the implied spread for any matchup.
Ratings as of 2026-09-26 · unit columns from the 2026 season
Matchup predictor@BUF -0.3 · KC wins 49% (+3.7 vs +5.8, +1.8 HFA)
| # | Team | Overall | Off | Def | Passing | Rushing | Protection | Pass D | Run D | Pass rush | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEASeahawks | +9.1 | 25.7 | 16.7 | +0.483 | -0.169 | 5.6% | -0.046 | -0.403 | 6.8% | |
| 2 | BUFBills | +5.8 | 27.7 | 22.0 | +0.690 | +0.061 | 5.7% | +0.493 | -0.058 | 8.1% | |
| 3 | LARams | +5.2 | 25.7 | 20.7 | +0.170 | -0.122 | 1.6% | -0.162 | -0.042 | 2.9% | |
| 4 | SF49ers | +5.1 | 26.1 | 21.2 | +0.581 | -0.017 | 0.0% | -0.028 | -0.109 | 7.0% | |
| 5 | BALRavens | +4.3 | 25.3 | 21.1 | +0.514 | +0.176 | 7.6% | +0.138 | +0.012 | 6.8% | |
| 6 | NEPatriots | +4.1 | 23.6 | 19.6 | -0.033 | -0.207 | 8.7% | +0.028 | -0.111 | 8.2% | |
| 7 | KCChiefs | +3.7 | 24.8 | 21.2 | +0.291 | +0.199 | 4.8% | +0.003 | +0.103 | 6.1% | |
| 8 | JAXJaguars | +3.6 | 24.3 | 20.8 | +0.466 | +0.028 | 5.4% | +0.187 | -0.085 | 8.2% | |
| 9 | DETLions | +3.4 | 25.6 | 22.3 | +0.357 | -0.085 | 5.9% | +0.399 | +0.121 | 7.0% | |
| 10 | CHIBears | +3.1 | 24.8 | 21.8 | +0.400 | +0.011 | 7.6% | +0.404 | -0.136 | 7.5% | |
| 11 | PHIEagles | +2.3 | 22.9 | 20.7 | +0.399 | -0.140 | 8.0% | +0.284 | +0.021 | 4.8% | |
| 12 | HOUTexans | +1.8 | 21.5 | 19.8 | +0.170 | -0.239 | 6.8% | +0.424 | -0.238 | 10.3% | |
| 13 | DENBroncos | +1.2 | 22.4 | 21.4 | +0.076 | -0.070 | 6.3% | +0.058 | +0.203 | 6.3% | |
| 14 | MINVikings | +1.0 | 20.9 | 20.1 | +0.236 | -0.138 | 11.1% | +0.176 | -0.339 | 9.2% | |
| 15 | CINBengals | +0.6 | 23.4 | 22.9 | +0.117 | -0.075 | 8.2% | +0.164 | -0.361 | 8.2% | |
| 16 | GBPackers | -0.6 | 22.6 | 23.3 | +0.103 | -0.410 | 6.1% | +0.347 | -0.034 | 6.8% | |
| 17 | INDColts | -0.7 | 22.9 | 23.6 | -0.023 | +0.159 | 3.0% | +0.512 | +0.134 | 5.0% | |
| 18 | TBBuccaneers | -0.8 | 21.3 | 22.3 | -0.020 | +0.038 | 9.2% | +0.230 | -0.209 | 4.2% | |
| 19 | DALCowboys | -0.9 | 24.4 | 25.4 | +0.529 | -0.125 | 2.8% | +0.440 | -0.002 | 2.7% | |
| 20 | NOSaints | -1.3 | 21.0 | 22.4 | +0.349 | -0.072 | 7.9% | +0.166 | +0.044 | 5.1% | |
| 21 | CARPanthers | -2.0 | 22.0 | 24.1 | +0.491 | -0.152 | 4.9% | +0.027 | +0.051 | 6.5% | |
| 22 | ATLFalcons | -2.5 | 20.4 | 23.0 | -0.176 | +0.044 | 7.8% | +0.125 | -0.234 | 3.7% | |
| 23 | PITSteelers | -2.6 | 19.3 | 22.0 | -0.176 | -0.156 | 6.7% | -0.206 | -0.047 | 13.2% | |
| 24 | LACChargers | -2.8 | 19.4 | 22.3 | +0.061 | -0.450 | 9.1% | +0.287 | -0.233 | 4.2% | |
| 25 | NYJJets | -3.6 | 19.5 | 23.2 | +0.386 | -0.187 | 5.4% | -0.027 | -0.318 | 8.5% | |
| 26 | ARICardinals | -3.8 | 20.2 | 24.1 | +0.135 | -0.169 | 4.3% | +0.310 | -0.230 | 6.5% | |
| 27 | WASCommanders | -3.9 | 20.9 | 24.9 | +0.219 | -0.064 | 1.3% | +0.505 | -0.174 | 7.2% | |
| 28 | LVRaiders | -3.9 | 19.0 | 23.0 | +0.160 | -0.245 | 3.2% | +0.047 | -0.444 | 11.8% | |
| 29 | CLEBrowns | -5.3 | 18.1 | 23.5 | +0.219 | -0.338 | 10.8% | +0.230 | +0.005 | 6.2% | |
| 30 | MIADolphins | -5.6 | 18.7 | 24.4 | +0.163 | -0.136 | 13.8% | +0.540 | -0.137 | 0.0% | |
| 31 | NYGGiants | -6.5 | 17.6 | 24.2 | +0.116 | -0.076 | 6.0% | +0.558 | -0.036 | 1.5% | |
| 32 | TENTitans | -7.5 | 17.4 | 25.1 | +0.093 | +0.042 | 7.9% | +0.425 | -0.061 | 4.4% |
Overall = points better (+) or worse (−) than average on a neutral field; two teams' gap + +1.8 home-field = our predicted spread. Off, Def and the unit columns are colored by league rank (hover for the rank); grouped views show the rank within the group and the league rank in parentheses.
Team ratings from an efficiency model — offense and defense rated separately on the point-spread scale, adjusted for every opponent faced, with the starting quarterback rated on his own — with a predictor that converts them into an implied spread and win probability for any matchup. Unit sub-ratings are descriptive season aggregates. Market-free by design and validated against closing spreads out of sample.
What these numbers mean: how sportsbooks set lines · model calibration.