Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 15 2026

Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Nissan Stadium

Prediction: Colts 25, Titans 23 (market-implied). The market gives the Indianapolis Colts a 53% chance to win. · Updated

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Colts24.5win 53%
Market-implied score
Titans23.0win 47%
SpreadIND -1.5
Total47.5
Moneyline-125 / +105
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Colts vs Titans prediction

The market makes Indianapolis Colts a 1.5-point favorite over Tennessee Titans, with the game total at 47.5.

Moneylines sit at -125 for Indianapolis Colts and +105 for Tennessee Titans, a devigged 47% win probability for Tennessee Titans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24.5 for Indianapolis Colts and 23 for Tennessee Titans.

The total has moved from 46.5 to 47.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 233 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards; Tennessee Titans — Cam Ward (QB) at 207 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Tony Pollard (RB) at 67 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Nissan Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Colts at Titans — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadIND -1.5
Total47.5 (open 46.5)
Moneyline (IND / TEN)-125 / +105
TEN implied win probability47%
Implied team totals (IND — TEN)24.5 — 23.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Colts and Titans this season

Games before Week 15. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Indianapolis Colts2-74-55-420.427.77
Tennessee Titans1-74-44-418.024.97

Colts' last 3 games: L 23-27 vs DAL · L 7-42 @ JAX · L 10-16 @ MIN.

Titans' last 3 games: L 36-43 @ CIN · L 24-27 vs CLE · W 26-20 @ IND.

Player projections

Indianapolis Colts · 24.5 market-implied pts
Daniel Jones (QB) — 233 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Jonathan Taylor (RB) — 63 rush yds · 23 rec yds
Keenan Allen (WR) — 49 rec yds · 4.5 rec
Tennessee Titans · 23.0 market-implied pts
Cam Ward (QB) — 207 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Tony Pollard (RB) — 67 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Carnell Tate (WR) — 53 rec yds · 4.6 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Colts @ Titans, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

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Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 15 games

← Week 14 · Week 16 → · Full 2026 schedule

Colts 2026 schedule

Titans 2026 schedule