Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Nissan Stadium
The market makes Indianapolis Colts a 1.5-point favourite over Tennessee Titans, with the game total at 47.5.
Moneylines sit at -125 for Indianapolis Colts and +105 for Tennessee Titans, a devigged 47% win probability for Tennessee Titans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24.5 for Indianapolis Colts and 23 for Tennessee Titans.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 231 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 81 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards; Tennessee Titans — Cam Ward (QB) at 208 passing yards and 13 rushing yards, Tony Pollard (RB) at 51 rushing yards and 11 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Nissan Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | IND -1.5 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Moneyline (IND / TEN) | -125 / +105 |
| TEN implied win probability | 47% |
| Implied team totals (IND — TEN) | 24.5 — 23.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.