New York Giants @ Indianapolis Colts — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 12 2026

Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Lucas Oil Stadium (retractable roof)

Prediction: Colts 25, Giants 23 (market-implied). The market gives the Indianapolis Colts a 55% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Giants @ Colts, on one screen.

Giants22.5win 45%
Market-implied score
Colts25.0win 55%
SpreadIND -2.5
Total47.5
Moneyline+114 / -135
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Giants vs Colts prediction

The market makes Indianapolis Colts a 2.5-point favorite over New York Giants, with the game total at 47.5.

Moneylines sit at +114 for New York Giants and -135 for Indianapolis Colts, a devigged 55% win probability for Indianapolis Colts; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for New York Giants and 25 for Indianapolis Colts.

The total has moved from 47 to 47.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New York Giants — J.J. McCarthy (QB) at 246 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Malik Nabers (WR) at 81 receiving yards and 6.8 catches; Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 228 passing yards and 15 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 70 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Lucas Oil Stadium, indoors, Indianapolis Colts take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Giants at Colts — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadIND -2.5 (open IND -2.75)
Total47.5 (open 47)
Moneyline (NYG / IND)+114 / -135
IND implied win probability55%
Implied team totals (NYG — IND)22.5 — 25.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Giants and Colts this season

Games before Week 12. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
New York Giants5-2-16-25-322.821.57
Indianapolis Colts2-74-55-420.427.710

Giants' last 3 games: W 19-11 @ PHI · W 27-21 @ HOU · L 27-34 vs NO.

Colts' last 3 games: L 23-27 vs DAL · L 7-42 @ JAX · L 10-16 @ MIN.

Player projections

New York Giants · 22.5 market-implied pts
J.J. McCarthy (QB) — 246 pass yds · 17 rush yds
Malik Nabers (WR) — 81 rec yds · 6.8 rec
Cam Skattebo (RB) — 60 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Indianapolis Colts · 25.0 market-implied pts
Daniel Jones (QB) — 228 pass yds · 15 rush yds
Jonathan Taylor (RB) — 70 rush yds · 23 rec yds
Tyler Warren (TE) — 1 rush yds · 48 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Giants @ Colts, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Giants @ Colts matchup →

Retractable-roof stadium: the outdoor forecast applies only if the roof is open. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 12 games

← Week 11 · Week 13 → · Full 2026 schedule

Giants 2026 schedule

Colts 2026 schedule