New Orleans Saints @ Cincinnati Bengals — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 12 2026

Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Paycor Stadium

Game preview

The market makes Cincinnati Bengals a 6.5-point favourite over New Orleans Saints, with the game total at 48.5.

Moneylines sit at +230 for New Orleans Saints and -285 for Cincinnati Bengals, a devigged 71% win probability for Cincinnati Bengals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21 for New Orleans Saints and 27.5 for Cincinnati Bengals.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New Orleans Saints — Tyler Shough (QB) at 282 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Chris Olave (WR) at 86 receiving yards and 6.8 catches; Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 241 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Chase Brown (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 26 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Paycor Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Saints at Bengals — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadCIN -6.5
Total48.5
Moneyline (NO / CIN)+230 / -285
CIN implied win probability71%
Implied team totals (NO — CIN)21.0 — 27.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

New Orleans Saints · 21.0 proj pts
Tyler Shough (QB) — 282 pass yds · 20 rush yds
Chris Olave (WR) — 86 rec yds · 6.8 rec
Travis Etienne (RB) — 38 rush yds · 27 rec yds
Cincinnati Bengals · 27.5 proj pts
Joe Burrow (QB) — 241 pass yds · 10 rush yds
Chase Brown (RB) — 63 rush yds · 26 rec yds
Ja'Marr Chase (WR) — 67 rec yds · 5.5 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 12 games

← Week 11 · Week 13 → · Full 2026 schedule