New Orleans Saints @ Cincinnati Bengals — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 12 2026

Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Paycor Stadium

Prediction: Bengals 28, Saints 21 (market-implied). The market gives the Cincinnati Bengals a 71% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Saints @ Bengals, on one screen.

Saints21.0win 29%
Market-implied score
Bengals27.5win 71%
SpreadCIN -6.5
Total48.5
Moneyline+230 / -285
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Saints vs Bengals prediction

The market makes Cincinnati Bengals a 6.5-point favorite over New Orleans Saints, with the game total at 48.5.

Moneylines sit at +230 for New Orleans Saints and -285 for Cincinnati Bengals, a devigged 71% win probability for Cincinnati Bengals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21 for New Orleans Saints and 27.5 for Cincinnati Bengals.

The total has moved from 48 to 48.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New Orleans Saints — Tyler Shough (QB) at 242 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Chris Olave (WR) at 71 receiving yards and 5.5 catches; Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 262 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Ja'Marr Chase (WR) at 90 receiving yards and 7.2 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Paycor Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Saints at Bengals — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadCIN -6.5
Total48.5 (open 48)
Moneyline (NO / CIN)+230 / -285
CIN implied win probability71%
Implied team totals (NO — CIN)21.0 — 27.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Saints and Bengals this season

Games before Week 12. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
New Orleans Saints3-53-55-323.127.07
Cincinnati Bengals6-24-3-15-330.021.96

Saints' last 3 games: W 23-22 vs CLE · L 10-16 vs PIT · W 34-27 @ NYG.

Bengals' last 3 games: W 34-17 @ ATL · W 43-36 vs TEN · W 35-13 @ BAL.

Player projections

New Orleans Saints · 21.0 market-implied pts
Tyler Shough (QB) — 242 pass yds · 17 rush yds
Chris Olave (WR) — 71 rec yds · 5.5 rec
Alvin Kamara (RB) — 42 rush yds · 25 rec yds
Cincinnati Bengals · 27.5 market-implied pts
Joe Burrow (QB) — 262 pass yds · 10 rush yds
Ja'Marr Chase (WR) — 90 rec yds · 7.2 rec
Chase Brown (RB) — 53 rush yds · 27 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Saints @ Bengals, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Saints @ Bengals matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 12 games

← Week 11 · Week 13 → · Full 2026 schedule

Saints 2026 schedule

Bengals 2026 schedule