Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Reliant Stadium (indoors)
The market makes Houston Texans a 3-point favourite over Cincinnati Bengals, with the game total at 45.5.
Moneylines sit at +130 for Cincinnati Bengals and -151 for Houston Texans, a devigged 58% win probability for Houston Texans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.3 for Cincinnati Bengals and 24.3 for Houston Texans.
The spread has moved from -2.5 to -3 since it opened and the total has moved from 46 to 45.5.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 247 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Chase Brown (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards; Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 237 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, David Montgomery (RB) at 65 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Reliant Stadium, indoors.
Final: Cincinnati Bengals won 20-6 (away, under).
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
ATS: away. Total: under.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -3 (open -2.5) |
| Total | 45.5 (open 46) |
| Moneyline (CIN / HOU) | +130 / -151 |
| HOU implied win probability | 58% |
| Implied team totals (CIN — HOU) | 21.3 — 24.3 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.