Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Paycor Stadium
The market makes Cincinnati Bengals a 3.5-point favourite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the game total at 50.5.
Moneylines sit at +170 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and -199 for Cincinnati Bengals, a devigged 64% win probability for Cincinnati Bengals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23.5 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and 27 for Cincinnati Bengals.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield (QB) at 235 passing yards and 19 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 73 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards; Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 241 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Chase Brown (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Paycor Stadium.
Final: Cincinnati Bengals won 33-27 (home, over).
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
ATS: home. Total: over.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -3.5 |
| Total | 50.5 |
| Moneyline (TB / CIN) | +170 / -199 |
| CIN implied win probability | 64% |
| Implied team totals (TB — CIN) | 23.5 — 27.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.