Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 5 2026

Thursday, October 8, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · AT&T Stadium (indoors)

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Buccaneers24market had 19.8
Final
Cowboys16market had 29.3
SpreadDAL -9.5
Total49
Moneyline+395 / -525
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Dallas Cowboys a 9.5-point favorite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the game total at 49.

Moneylines sit at +395 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and -525 for Dallas Cowboys, a devigged 81% win probability for Dallas Cowboys; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19.8 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and 29.3 for Dallas Cowboys.

The total has moved from 47 to 49.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Jalon Daniels (QB) at 203 passing yards and 37 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards; Dallas Cowboys — Dak Prescott (QB) at 256 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Javonte Williams (RB) at 66 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Thursday, October 8, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET, at AT&T Stadium, indoors.

Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 24-16; Tampa Bay Buccaneers covered the spread (DAL -9.5) and the game went under the 49 total.

From the blog: NFL Week 5 preview: every line, every matchup and where I'm leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

TB 24 — DAL 16

Tampa Bay Buccaneers covered the spread (DAL -9.5) and the game went under the 49 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Buccaneers at Cowboys — lines as of Thu, 10/8 · 8:15 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadDAL -9.5
Total49 (open 47)
Moneyline (TB / DAL)+395 / -525
DAL implied win probability81%
Implied team totals (TB — DAL)19.8 — 29.3

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Buccaneers and Cowboys this season

Games before Week 5. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0-40-42-219.024.04
Dallas Cowboys2-23-14-030.528.04

Buccaneers' last 3 games: L 14-17 vs GB · L 16-23 vs MIN · L 19-23 vs CLE.

Cowboys' last 3 games: W 34-30 @ HOU · L 31-34 vs BAL · W 37-20 vs WAS.

Pre-game injury report

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Inactive: Baker Mayfield (QB), Antoine Winfield Jr. (S), Benjamin Morrison (CB), Billy Schrauth (G), SirVocea Dennis (LB).

Dallas Cowboys

Inactive: Camden Brown (WR), Ajani Cornelius (T), Cobie Durant (CB), Drew Shelton (T), James Houston (LB), Joey Porter Jr. (CB).

Gameday inactives as of Thu, 10/8 · 7:22 PM ET.

Player projections

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 19.8 market-implied pts
Jalon Daniels (QB) — 203 pass yds · 37 rush yds
Bucky Irving (RB) — 56 rush yds · 19 rec yds
Emeka Egbuka (WR) — 1 rush yds · 48 rec yds
Dallas Cowboys · 29.3 market-implied pts
Dak Prescott (QB) — 256 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Javonte Williams (RB) — 66 rush yds · 19 rec yds
CeeDee Lamb (WR) — 2 rush yds · 77 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Buccaneers @ Cowboys, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Buccaneers @ Cowboys matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 5 games

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Buccaneers 2026 schedule

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