New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 17 2026

Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET · AT&T Stadium (retractable roof)

Prediction: Cowboys 28, Giants 23 (market-implied). The market gives the Dallas Cowboys a 66% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Giants @ Cowboys, on one screen.

Giants22.8win 34%
Market-implied score
Cowboys27.8win 66%
SpreadDAL -5
Total50.5
Moneyline+180 / -224
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Giants vs Cowboys prediction

The market makes Dallas Cowboys a 5-point favorite over New York Giants, with the game total at 50.5.

Moneylines sit at +180 for New York Giants and -224 for Dallas Cowboys, a devigged 66% win probability for Dallas Cowboys; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.8 for New York Giants and 27.8 for Dallas Cowboys.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New York Giants — J.J. McCarthy (QB) at 253 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Malik Nabers (WR) at 85 receiving yards and 7 catches; Dallas Cowboys — Dak Prescott (QB) at 254 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Javonte Williams (RB) at 79 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET, at AT&T Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Giants at Cowboys — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadDAL -5
Total50.5
Moneyline (NYG / DAL)+180 / -224
DAL implied win probability66%
Implied team totals (NYG — DAL)22.8 — 27.8

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Giants and Cowboys this season

Games before Week 17. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
New York Giants5-2-16-25-322.821.56
Dallas Cowboys4-55-46-327.326.27

Giants' last 3 games: W 19-11 @ PHI · W 27-21 @ HOU · L 27-34 vs NO.

Cowboys' last 3 games: W 27-23 @ IND · L 30-33 vs ARI · W 38-21 @ PHI.

Player projections

New York Giants · 22.8 market-implied pts
J.J. McCarthy (QB) — 253 pass yds · 17 rush yds
Malik Nabers (WR) — 85 rec yds · 7.0 rec
Cam Skattebo (RB) — 62 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Dallas Cowboys · 27.8 market-implied pts
Dak Prescott (QB) — 254 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Javonte Williams (RB) — 79 rush yds · 14 rec yds
CeeDee Lamb (WR) — 1 rush yds · 85 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Giants @ Cowboys, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Giants @ Cowboys matchup →

Retractable-roof stadium: the outdoor forecast applies only if the roof is open. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 17 games

← Week 16 · Week 18 → · Full 2026 schedule

Giants 2026 schedule

Cowboys 2026 schedule