Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · AT&T Stadium (retractable roof)
The market makes Dallas Cowboys a 4.5-point favourite over New York Giants, with the game total at 49.5.
Moneylines sit at +180 for New York Giants and -218 for Dallas Cowboys, a devigged 66% win probability for Dallas Cowboys; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for New York Giants and 27 for Dallas Cowboys.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New York Giants — Jameis Winston (QB) at 223 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Cam Skattebo (RB) at 60 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards; Dallas Cowboys — Dak Prescott (QB) at 246 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Javonte Williams (RB) at 58 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at AT&T Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DAL -4.5 |
| Total | 49.5 |
| Moneyline (NYG / DAL) | +180 / -218 |
| DAL implied win probability | 66% |
| Implied team totals (NYG — DAL) | 22.5 — 27.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.