Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 5 2026

Monday, October 12, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · SoFi Stadium (indoors)

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Bills37market had 26.0
Final
Rams34market had 29.5
SpreadLA -3.5
Total55.5
Moneyline+152 / -177
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Los Angeles Rams a 3.5-point favorite over Buffalo Bills, with the game total at 55.5.

Moneylines sit at +152 for Buffalo Bills and -177 for Los Angeles Rams, a devigged 62% win probability for Los Angeles Rams; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 26 for Buffalo Bills and 29.5 for Los Angeles Rams.

The spread has moved from LA -3 to LA -3.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 54.5 to 55.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Buffalo Bills — Josh Allen (QB) at 241 passing yards and 31 rushing yards, James Cook (RB) at 78 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards; Los Angeles Rams — Matthew Stafford (QB) at 243 passing yards and 4 rushing yards, Kyren Williams (RB) at 70 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Monday, October 12, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET, at SoFi Stadium, indoors.

Final: Buffalo Bills won 37-34; Buffalo Bills covered the spread (LA -3.5) and the game went over the 55.5 total.

From the blog: NFL Week 5 preview: every line, every matchup and where I'm leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

BUF 37 — LA 34

Buffalo Bills covered the spread (LA -3.5) and the game went over the 55.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Bills at Rams — lines as of Mon, 10/12 · 8:15 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadLA -3.5 (open LA -3)
Total55.5 (open 54.5)
Moneyline (BUF / LA)+152 / -177
LA implied win probability62%
Implied team totals (BUF — LA)26.0 — 29.5

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Bills and Rams this season

Games before Week 5. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Buffalo Bills3-13-13-131.826.88
Los Angeles Rams2-22-22-221.320.88

Bills' last 3 games: L 26-29 vs NE · W 24-16 vs LAC · W 41-31 vs DET.

Rams' last 3 games: W 24-20 @ PHI · L 26-30 @ DEN · W 28-6 vs NYG.

Pre-game injury report

Buffalo Bills

Inactive: DJ Moore (WR), Joshua Palmer (WR), Ar'maj Reed-Adams (G), Dee Alford (CB), Landon Jackson (DE).

Los Angeles Rams

Inactive: Bill Murray (G).

Gameday inactives as of Mon, 10/12 · 7:22 PM ET.

Player projections

Buffalo Bills · 26.0 market-implied pts
Josh Allen (QB) — 241 pass yds · 31 rush yds
James Cook (RB) — 78 rush yds · 21 rec yds
Khalil Shakir (WR) — 65 rec yds · 5.3 rec
Los Angeles Rams · 29.5 market-implied pts
Matthew Stafford (QB) — 243 pass yds · 4 rush yds
Kyren Williams (RB) — 70 rush yds · 22 rec yds
Puka Nacua (WR) — 2 rush yds · 80 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Bills @ Rams, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Bills @ Rams matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 5 games

← Week 4 · Week 6 → · Full 2026 schedule

Bills 2026 schedule

Rams 2026 schedule