Monday, October 12, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT · SoFi Stadium (indoors)
The market makes Los Angeles Rams a 3-point favourite over Buffalo Bills, with the game total at 53.5.
Moneylines sit at +142 for Buffalo Bills and -170 for Los Angeles Rams, a devigged 60% win probability for Los Angeles Rams; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 25.3 for Buffalo Bills and 28.3 for Los Angeles Rams.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Buffalo Bills — Josh Allen (QB) at 241 passing yards and 31 rushing yards, James Cook (RB) at 69 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards; Los Angeles Rams — Matthew Stafford (QB) at 216 passing yards and 2 rushing yards, Puka Nacua (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 80 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Monday, October 12, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT, at SoFi Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | LA -3 |
| Total | 53.5 |
| Moneyline (BUF / LA) | +142 / -170 |
| LA implied win probability | 60% |
| Implied team totals (BUF — LA) | 25.3 — 28.3 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.