Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 16 2026

Friday, December 25, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · Lumen Field

Prediction: Seahawks 24, Rams 23 (market-implied). The market gives the Seattle Seahawks a 53% chance to win. · Updated

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Rams22.5win 47%
Market-implied score
Seahawks24.0win 53%
SpreadSEA -1.5
Total46.5
Moneyline+105 / -125
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Rams vs Seahawks prediction

The market makes Seattle Seahawks a 1.5-point favorite over Los Angeles Rams, with the game total at 46.5.

Moneylines sit at +105 for Los Angeles Rams and -125 for Seattle Seahawks, a devigged 53% win probability for Seattle Seahawks; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for Los Angeles Rams and 24 for Seattle Seahawks.

The spread has moved from SEA -0.5 to SEA -1.5 since it opened.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Rams — Matthew Stafford (QB) at 223 passing yards and 3 rushing yards, Puka Nacua (WR) at 4 rushing yards and 88 receiving yards; Seattle Seahawks — Drew Lock (QB) at 225 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 83 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Friday, December 25, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET, at Lumen Field.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Rams at Seahawks — lines as of Wed, 9/9 · 8:04 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadSEA -1.5 (open SEA -0.5)
Total46.5
Moneyline (LA / SEA)+105 / -125
SEA implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (LA — SEA)22.5 — 24.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Rams and Seahawks this season

Games before Week 16. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Los Angeles Rams5-45-44-523.820.15
Seattle Seahawks5-43-4-24-522.418.06

Rams' last 3 games: W 20-13 @ WAS · W 24-9 vs LAC · W 35-21 @ LV.

Seahawks' last 3 games: W 17-3 vs ARI · L 17-34 vs CHI · W 20-3 vs KC.

Player projections

Los Angeles Rams · 22.5 market-implied pts
Matthew Stafford (QB) — 223 pass yds · 3 rush yds
Puka Nacua (WR) — 4 rush yds · 88 rec yds
Kyren Williams (RB) — 57 rush yds · 20 rec yds
Seattle Seahawks · 24.0 market-implied pts
Drew Lock (QB) — 225 pass yds · 10 rush yds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) — 2 rush yds · 83 rec yds
Zach Charbonnet (RB) — 46 rush yds · 13 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Rams @ Seahawks, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

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Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 16 games

← Week 15 · Week 17 → · Full 2026 schedule

Rams 2026 schedule

Seahawks 2026 schedule