Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 16 2026

Friday, December 25, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT · Lumen Field

Game preview

The market makes Seattle Seahawks a 1.8-point favourite over Los Angeles Rams, with the game total at 47.

Moneylines sit at +108 for Los Angeles Rams and -127 for Seattle Seahawks, a devigged 54% win probability for Seattle Seahawks; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.6 for Los Angeles Rams and 24.4 for Seattle Seahawks.

The spread has moved from -1 to -1.7 since it opened and the total has moved from 46.5 to 47.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Rams — Matthew Stafford (QB) at 211 passing yards and 2 rushing yards, Puka Nacua (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 76 receiving yards; Seattle Seahawks — Drew Lock (QB) at 200 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) at 1 rushing yards and 83 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Friday, December 25, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT, at Lumen Field.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Rams at Seahawks — lines as of Wed, 9/9 · 7:04 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadSEA -1.75 (open -1)
Total47 (open 46.5)
Moneyline (LA / SEA)+108 / -127
SEA implied win probability54%
Implied team totals (LA — SEA)22.6 — 24.4

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Los Angeles Rams · 22.5 proj pts
Matthew Stafford (QB) — 211 pass yds · 2 rush yds
Puka Nacua (WR) — 2 rush yds · 76 rec yds
Kyren Williams (RB) — 56 rush yds · 17 rec yds
Seattle Seahawks · 24.0 proj pts
Drew Lock (QB) — 200 pass yds · 9 rush yds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) — 1 rush yds · 83 rec yds
Jadarian Price (RB) — 55 rush yds · 13 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 16 games

← Week 15 · Week 17 → · Full 2026 schedule