Green Bay Packers @ Los Angeles Rams — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 12 2026

Wednesday, November 25, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · SoFi Stadium (indoors)

Prediction: Rams 27, Packers 22 (market-implied). The market gives the Los Angeles Rams a 67% chance to win. · Updated

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Packers21.8win 33%
Market-implied score
Rams26.8win 67%
SpreadLA -5
Total48.5
Moneyline+190 / -225
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Packers vs Rams prediction

The market makes Los Angeles Rams a 5-point favorite over Green Bay Packers, with the game total at 48.5.

Moneylines sit at +190 for Green Bay Packers and -225 for Los Angeles Rams, a devigged 67% win probability for Los Angeles Rams; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.8 for Green Bay Packers and 26.8 for Los Angeles Rams.

The spread has moved from LA -5.5 to LA -5 since it opened.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 254 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Christian Watson (WR) at 70 receiving yards and 5 catches; Los Angeles Rams — Matthew Stafford (QB) at 242 passing yards and 3 rushing yards, Puka Nacua (WR) at 4 rushing yards and 100 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Wednesday, November 25, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET, at SoFi Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Packers at Rams — lines as of Thu, 9/10 · 8:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadLA -5 (open LA -5.5)
Total48.5
Moneyline (GB / LA)+190 / -225
LA implied win probability67%
Implied team totals (GB — LA)21.8 — 26.8

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Packers and Rams this season

Games before Week 12. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Green Bay Packers6-36-2-13-624.021.210
Los Angeles Rams5-45-44-523.820.110

Packers' last 3 games: W 45-27 @ NE · W 27-19 vs CAR · L 17-20 @ DET.

Rams' last 3 games: W 20-13 @ WAS · W 24-9 vs LAC · W 35-21 @ LV.

Player projections

Green Bay Packers · 21.8 market-implied pts
Jordan Love (QB) — 254 pass yds · 8 rush yds
Christian Watson (WR) — 70 rec yds · 5.0 rec
Matthew Golden (WR) — 1 rush yds · 68 rec yds
Los Angeles Rams · 26.8 market-implied pts
Matthew Stafford (QB) — 242 pass yds · 3 rush yds
Puka Nacua (WR) — 4 rush yds · 100 rec yds
Kyren Williams (RB) — 61 rush yds · 19 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Packers @ Rams, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

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Played indoors, so weather is not a factor. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 12 games

← Week 11 · Week 13 → · Full 2026 schedule

Packers 2026 schedule

Rams 2026 schedule