Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 18 2026

Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET · Lambeau Field

Prediction: Packers 25, Lions 23 (market-implied). The market gives the Green Bay Packers a 55% chance to win. · Updated

The full matchup dashboard

Every angle of Lions @ Packers, on one screen.

Lions22.5win 45%
Market-implied score
Packers25.0win 55%
SpreadGB -2.5
Total47.5
Moneyline+114 / -135
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Lions vs Packers prediction

The market makes Green Bay Packers a 2.5-point favorite over Detroit Lions, with the game total at 47.5.

Moneylines sit at +114 for Detroit Lions and -135 for Green Bay Packers, a devigged 55% win probability for Green Bay Packers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for Detroit Lions and 25 for Green Bay Packers.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Detroit Lions — Jared Goff (QB) at 263 passing yards and 4 rushing yards, Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) at 97 rushing yards and 30 receiving yards; Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 277 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Christian Watson (WR) at 76 receiving yards and 5 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET, at Lambeau Field.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Lions at Packers — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadGB -2.5
Total47.5
Moneyline (DET / GB)+114 / -135
GB implied win probability55%
Implied team totals (DET — GB)22.5 — 25.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Lions and Packers this season

Games before Week 18. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Detroit Lions6-23-4-15-327.823.67
Green Bay Packers6-36-2-13-624.021.26

Lions' last 3 games: W 19-9 @ MIA · W 19-15 vs MIN · W 20-17 vs GB.

Packers' last 3 games: W 45-27 @ NE · W 27-19 vs CAR · L 17-20 @ DET.

Player projections

Detroit Lions · 22.5 market-implied pts
Jared Goff (QB) — 263 pass yds · 4 rush yds
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) — 97 rush yds · 30 rec yds
Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR) — 1 rush yds · 88 rec yds
Green Bay Packers · 25.0 market-implied pts
Jordan Love (QB) — 277 pass yds · 8 rush yds
Christian Watson (WR) — 76 rec yds · 5.0 rec
Matthew Golden (WR) — 1 rush yds · 75 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Lions @ Packers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Lions @ Packers matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 18 games

← Week 17 · Full 2026 schedule

Lions 2026 schedule

Packers 2026 schedule