Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 18 2026

Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · Lucas Oil Stadium (retractable roof)

Game preview

The market makes Indianapolis Colts a 1.5-point favourite over Jacksonville Jaguars, with the game total at 46.5.

Moneylines sit at +102 for Jacksonville Jaguars and -122 for Indianapolis Colts, a devigged 53% win probability for Indianapolis Colts; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for Jacksonville Jaguars and 24 for Indianapolis Colts.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 221 passing yards and 15 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 59 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards; Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 224 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 81 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at Lucas Oil Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Jaguars at Colts — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadIND -1.5
Total46.5
Moneyline (JAX / IND)+102 / -122
IND implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (JAX — IND)22.5 — 24.0

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Jacksonville Jaguars · 22.5 proj pts
Trevor Lawrence (QB) — 221 pass yds · 15 rush yds
Bhayshul Tuten (RB) — 59 rush yds · 10 rec yds
Parker Washington (WR) — 1 rush yds · 62 rec yds
Indianapolis Colts · 24.0 proj pts
Daniel Jones (QB) — 224 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Jonathan Taylor (RB) — 81 rush yds · 21 rec yds
Josh Downs (WR) — 48 rec yds · 4.2 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 18 games

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