Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 18 2026

Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET · Lucas Oil Stadium (retractable roof)

Prediction: Colts 24, Jaguars 23 (market-implied). The market gives the Indianapolis Colts a 53% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Jaguars @ Colts, on one screen.

Jaguars22.5win 47%
Market-implied score
Colts24.0win 53%
SpreadIND -1.5
Total46.5
Moneyline+102 / -122
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Jaguars vs Colts prediction

The market makes Indianapolis Colts a 1.5-point favorite over Jacksonville Jaguars, with the game total at 46.5.

Moneylines sit at +102 for Jacksonville Jaguars and -122 for Indianapolis Colts, a devigged 53% win probability for Indianapolis Colts; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for Jacksonville Jaguars and 24 for Indianapolis Colts.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 234 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards; Indianapolis Colts — Daniel Jones (QB) at 228 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Jonathan Taylor (RB) at 65 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET, at Lucas Oil Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Jaguars at Colts — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadIND -1.5
Total46.5
Moneyline (JAX / IND)+102 / -122
IND implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (JAX — IND)22.5 — 24.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Jaguars and Colts this season

Games before Week 18. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Jacksonville Jaguars6-25-34-428.615.17
Indianapolis Colts2-74-55-420.427.77

Jaguars' last 3 games: W 33-10 @ BAL · W 42-7 vs IND · L 31-34 vs HOU.

Colts' last 3 games: L 23-27 vs DAL · L 7-42 @ JAX · L 10-16 @ MIN.

Player projections

Jacksonville Jaguars · 22.5 market-implied pts
Trevor Lawrence (QB) — 234 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Bhayshul Tuten (RB) — 61 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Parker Washington (WR) — 1 rush yds · 56 rec yds
Indianapolis Colts · 24.0 market-implied pts
Daniel Jones (QB) — 228 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Jonathan Taylor (RB) — 65 rush yds · 22 rec yds
Tyler Warren (TE) — 1 rush yds · 50 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Jaguars @ Colts, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Jaguars @ Colts matchup →

Retractable-roof stadium: the outdoor forecast applies only if the roof is open. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 18 games

← Week 17 · Full 2026 schedule

Jaguars 2026 schedule

Colts 2026 schedule