Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Soldier Field
The market makes Chicago Bears a 3-point favourite over Jacksonville Jaguars, with the game total at 47.5.
Moneylines sit at +130 for Jacksonville Jaguars and -155 for Chicago Bears, a devigged 58% win probability for Chicago Bears; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.3 for Jacksonville Jaguars and 25.3 for Chicago Bears.
The spread has moved from -2.5 to -3 since it opened.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 212 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 60 rushing yards and 9 receiving yards; Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 225 passing yards and 26 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 62 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Soldier Field, Chicago Bears take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CHI -3 (open -2.5) |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Moneyline (JAX / CHI) | +130 / -155 |
| CHI implied win probability | 58% |
| Implied team totals (JAX — CHI) | 22.3 — 25.3 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.