Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 13 2026

Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Soldier Field

Prediction: Bears 25, Jaguars 22 (market-implied). The market gives the Chicago Bears a 58% chance to win. · Updated

The full matchup dashboard

Every angle of Jaguars @ Bears, on one screen.

Jaguars22.3win 42%
Market-implied score
Bears25.3win 58%
SpreadCHI -3
Total47.5
Moneyline+130 / -155
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Jaguars vs Bears prediction

The market makes Chicago Bears a 3-point favorite over Jacksonville Jaguars, with the game total at 47.5.

Moneylines sit at +130 for Jacksonville Jaguars and -155 for Chicago Bears, a devigged 58% win probability for Chicago Bears; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.3 for Jacksonville Jaguars and 25.3 for Chicago Bears.

The total has moved from 48 to 47.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 234 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 60 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards; Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 243 passing yards and 24 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 55 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Soldier Field, Chicago Bears take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Jaguars at Bears — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadCHI -3 (open CHI -2.75)
Total47.5 (open 48)
Moneyline (JAX / CHI)+130 / -155
CHI implied win probability58%
Implied team totals (JAX — CHI)22.3 — 25.3

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Jaguars and Bears this season

Games before Week 13. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Jacksonville Jaguars6-25-34-428.615.17
Chicago Bears7-26-35-426.820.410

Jaguars' last 3 games: W 33-10 @ BAL · W 42-7 vs IND · L 31-34 vs HOU.

Bears' last 3 games: W 27-24 vs TB · W 34-17 @ SEA · W 30-24 vs NE.

Player projections

Jacksonville Jaguars · 22.3 market-implied pts
Trevor Lawrence (QB) — 234 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Bhayshul Tuten (RB) — 60 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Parker Washington (WR) — 1 rush yds · 58 rec yds
Chicago Bears · 25.3 market-implied pts
Caleb Williams (QB) — 243 pass yds · 24 rush yds
D'Andre Swift (RB) — 55 rush yds · 20 rec yds
Luther Burden III (WR) — 2 rush yds · 60 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Jaguars @ Bears, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Jaguars @ Bears matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 13 games

← Week 12 · Week 14 → · Full 2026 schedule

Jaguars 2026 schedule

Bears 2026 schedule