Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 8:30 AM CT · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
The market makes Philadelphia Eagles a 1.5-point favourite over Jacksonville Jaguars, with the game total at 45.5.
Moneylines sit at -125 for Philadelphia Eagles and +105 for Jacksonville Jaguars, a devigged 47% win probability for Jacksonville Jaguars; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23.5 for Philadelphia Eagles and 22 for Jacksonville Jaguars.
The total has moved from 44.5 to 45.5.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Philadelphia Eagles — Jalen Hurts (QB) at 220 passing yards and 24 rushing yards, Saquon Barkley (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards; Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 198 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 59 rushing yards and 9 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 8:30 AM CT, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | PHI -1.5 |
| Total | 45.5 (open 44.5) |
| Moneyline (PHI / JAX) | -125 / +105 |
| JAX implied win probability | 47% |
| Implied team totals (PHI — JAX) | 23.5 — 22.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.