Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 11 2026

Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET · Lincoln Financial Field

Prediction: Steelers 22, Eagles 17 (market-implied). The market gives the Pittsburgh Steelers a 65% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Steelers @ Eagles, on one screen.

Steelers21.5win 65%
Market-implied score
Eagles17.0win 35%
SpreadPIT -4.5
Total38.5
Moneyline-205 / +171
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Steelers vs Eagles prediction

The market makes Pittsburgh Steelers a 4.5-point favorite over Philadelphia Eagles, with the game total at 38.5.

Moneylines sit at -205 for Pittsburgh Steelers and +171 for Philadelphia Eagles, a devigged 35% win probability for Philadelphia Eagles; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.5 for Pittsburgh Steelers and 17 for Philadelphia Eagles.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 166 passing yards and 5 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 62 rushing yards and 18 receiving yards; Philadelphia Eagles — Joe Milton III (QB) at 232 passing yards and 42 rushing yards, Saquon Barkley (RB) at 59 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET, at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia Eagles take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Steelers at Eagles — lines as of Tue, 11/10 · 9:02 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadPIT -4.5
Total38.5
Moneyline (PIT / PHI)-205 / +171
PHI implied win probability35%
Implied team totals (PIT — PHI)21.5 — 17.0

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Steelers and Eagles this season

Games before Week 11. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Pittsburgh Steelers6-26-24-422.518.07
Philadelphia Eagles2-71-84-516.424.614

Steelers' last 3 games: W 27-6 vs CLE · W 16-10 @ NO · W 26-19 @ TB.

Eagles' last 3 games: L 11-19 vs NYG · L 10-27 @ WAS · L 21-38 vs DAL.

Player projections

Pittsburgh Steelers · 21.5 market-implied pts
Aaron Rodgers (QB) — 166 pass yds · 5 rush yds
Jaylen Warren (RB) — 62 rush yds · 18 rec yds
DK Metcalf (WR) — 1 rush yds · 46 rec yds
Philadelphia Eagles · 17.0 market-implied pts
Joe Milton III (QB) — 232 pass yds · 42 rush yds
Saquon Barkley (RB) — 59 rush yds · 12 rec yds
DeVonta Smith (WR) — 62 rec yds · 5.8 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Steelers @ Eagles, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

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Kickoff forecast: 55°F, wind 7 mph from the WNW, 23% chance of precipitation. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 11 games

← Week 10 · Week 12 → · Full 2026 schedule

Steelers 2026 schedule

Eagles 2026 schedule