Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 11 2026

Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · Lincoln Financial Field

Game preview

The market makes Philadelphia Eagles a 5.5-point favourite over Pittsburgh Steelers, with the game total at 42.5.

Moneylines sit at +195 for Pittsburgh Steelers and -238 for Philadelphia Eagles, a devigged 68% win probability for Philadelphia Eagles; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 18.5 for Pittsburgh Steelers and 24 for Philadelphia Eagles.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 174 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 46 rushing yards and 24 receiving yards; Philadelphia Eagles — Jalen Hurts (QB) at 212 passing yards and 24 rushing yards, Saquon Barkley (RB) at 59 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia Eagles take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Steelers at Eagles — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadPHI -5.5
Total42.5
Moneyline (PIT / PHI)+195 / -238
PHI implied win probability68%
Implied team totals (PIT — PHI)18.5 — 24.0

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Pittsburgh Steelers · 18.5 proj pts
Aaron Rodgers (QB) — 174 pass yds · 6 rush yds
Jaylen Warren (RB) — 46 rush yds · 24 rec yds
DK Metcalf (WR) — 63 rec yds · 4.7 rec
Philadelphia Eagles · 24.0 proj pts
Jalen Hurts (QB) — 212 pass yds · 24 rush yds
Saquon Barkley (RB) — 59 rush yds · 16 rec yds
DeVonta Smith (WR) — 67 rec yds · 5.4 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 11 games

← Week 10 · Week 12 → · Full 2026 schedule