Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Soldier Field
The market makes Chicago Bears a 6.5-point favourite over New Orleans Saints, with the game total at 46.5.
Moneylines sit at +230 for New Orleans Saints and -285 for Chicago Bears, a devigged 71% win probability for Chicago Bears; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20 for New Orleans Saints and 26.5 for Chicago Bears.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New Orleans Saints — Tyler Shough (QB) at 259 passing yards and 19 rushing yards, Chris Olave (WR) at 85 receiving yards and 6.6 catches; Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 226 passing yards and 27 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Soldier Field, Chicago Bears take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CHI -6.5 |
| Total | 46.5 |
| Moneyline (NO / CHI) | +230 / -285 |
| CHI implied win probability | 71% |
| Implied team totals (NO — CHI) | 20.0 — 26.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.