Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 5 2026

Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Caesars Superdome (indoors)

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How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Vikings23market had 22.0
Final
Saints13market had 19.5
SpreadMIN -2.5
Total41.5
Moneyline-136 / +115
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Minnesota Vikings a 2.5-point favorite over New Orleans Saints, with the game total at 41.5.

Moneylines sit at -136 for Minnesota Vikings and +115 for New Orleans Saints, a devigged 44% win probability for New Orleans Saints; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22 for Minnesota Vikings and 19.5 for New Orleans Saints.

The spread has moved from MIN -2 to MIN -2.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 45.25 to 41.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Minnesota Vikings — Kyler Murray (QB) at 190 passing yards and 22 rushing yards, Aaron Jones (RB) at 75 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards; New Orleans Saints — Tyler Shough (QB) at 246 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Chris Olave (WR) at 77 receiving yards and 6.6 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Caesars Superdome, indoors.

Final: Minnesota Vikings won 23-13; Minnesota Vikings covered the spread (MIN -2.5) and the game went under the 41.5 total.

From the blog: NFL Week 5 preview: every line, every matchup and where I'm leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

MIN 23 — NO 13

Minnesota Vikings covered the spread (MIN -2.5) and the game went under the 41.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Vikings at Saints — lines as of Sun, 10/11 · 1:02 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadMIN -2.5 (open MIN -2)
Total41.5 (open 45.25)
Moneyline (MIN / NO)-136 / +115
NO implied win probability44%
Implied team totals (MIN — NO)22.0 — 19.5

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Vikings and Saints this season

Games before Week 5. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Minnesota Vikings4-03-11-321.512.87
New Orleans Saints1-32-23-126.332.06

Vikings' last 3 games: W 15-10 vs MIA · W 23-16 @ TB · W 9-3 @ CHI.

Saints' last 3 games: L 24-45 vs ATL · L 27-35 vs LV · W 24-17 @ BAL.

Pre-game injury report

Minnesota Vikings

Inactive: Jordan Addison (WR), Odell Beckham Jr. (WR), Charles Demmings (CB), Christian Darrisaw (T), Elijah Williams (DE), Jakobe Thomas (S).

New Orleans Saints

Inactive: Anfernee Jennings (LB), Jeremiah Wright (G), Kaden Elliss (LB), Mike Reid (CB), Nathan Shepherd (DT), Vernon Broughton (DT).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/11 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Minnesota Vikings · 22.0 market-implied pts
Kyler Murray (QB) — 190 pass yds · 22 rush yds
Aaron Jones (RB) — 75 rush yds · 23 rec yds
Justin Jefferson (WR) — 73 rec yds · 5.1 rec
New Orleans Saints · 19.5 market-implied pts
Tyler Shough (QB) — 246 pass yds · 17 rush yds
Chris Olave (WR) — 77 rec yds · 6.6 rec
Alvin Kamara (RB) — 43 rush yds · 24 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Vikings @ Saints, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Vikings @ Saints matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 5 games

← Week 4 · Week 6 → · Full 2026 schedule

Vikings 2026 schedule

Saints 2026 schedule