Monday, November 9, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT · U.S. Bank Stadium (indoors)
The market makes Buffalo Bills a 3-point favourite over Minnesota Vikings, with the game total at 48.5.
Moneylines sit at -175 for Buffalo Bills and +145 for Minnesota Vikings, a devigged 39% win probability for Minnesota Vikings; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 25.8 for Buffalo Bills and 22.8 for Minnesota Vikings.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Buffalo Bills — Josh Allen (QB) at 239 passing yards and 32 rushing yards, James Cook (RB) at 71 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards; Minnesota Vikings — Carson Wentz (QB) at 187 passing yards and 13 rushing yards, Aaron Jones (RB) at 78 rushing yards and 11 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Monday, November 9, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT, at U.S. Bank Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | BUF -3 |
| Total | 48.5 |
| Moneyline (BUF / MIN) | -175 / +145 |
| MIN implied win probability | 39% |
| Implied team totals (BUF — MIN) | 25.8 — 22.8 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.