Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Hard Rock Stadium
The market makes Detroit Lions a 6.5-point favourite over Miami Dolphins, with the game total at 47.5.
Moneylines sit at -278 for Detroit Lions and +225 for Miami Dolphins, a devigged 29% win probability for Miami Dolphins; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 27 for Detroit Lions and 20.5 for Miami Dolphins.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Detroit Lions — Jared Goff (QB) at 274 passing yards and 4 rushing yards, Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) at 99 rushing yards and 36 receiving yards; Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 249 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, De'Von Achane (RB) at 76 rushing yards and 34 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Hard Rock Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DET -6.5 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Moneyline (DET / MIA) | -278 / +225 |
| MIA implied win probability | 29% |
| Implied team totals (DET — MIA) | 27.0 — 20.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.