New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 8 2026

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Patriots24market had 24.0
Final
Dolphins19market had 17.3
SpreadNE -6.75
Total41.25
Moneyline-352 / +280
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes New England Patriots a 6.75-point favorite over Miami Dolphins, with the game total at 41.25.

Moneylines sit at -352 for New England Patriots and +280 for Miami Dolphins, a devigged 25% win probability for Miami Dolphins; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24 for New England Patriots and 17.3 for Miami Dolphins.

The spread has moved from NE -7.5 to NE -6.75 since it opened and the total has moved from 44.5 to 41.25.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected New England Patriots — Drake Maye (QB) at 245 passing yards and 29 rushing yards, Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 31 receiving yards; Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 187 passing yards and 34 rushing yards, Ollie Gordon II (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET, at Hard Rock Stadium, New England Patriots take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

Final: New England Patriots won 24-19; Miami Dolphins covered the spread (NE -6.75) and the game went over the 41.25 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

NE 24 — MIA 19

Miami Dolphins covered the spread (NE -6.75) and the game went over the 41.25 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Patriots at Dolphins — lines as of Sun, 11/1 · 4:25 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadNE -6.75 (open NE -7.5)
Total41.25 (open 44.5)
Moneyline (NE / MIA)-352 / +280
MIA implied win probability25%
Implied team totals (NE — MIA)24.0 — 17.3

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Patriots and Dolphins this season

Games before Week 8. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
New England Patriots4-33-3-14-322.920.410
Miami Dolphins1-52-3-13-316.326.27

Patriots' last 3 games: L 24-30 @ CHI · W 26-19 vs NYJ · W 45-17 vs LV.

Dolphins' last 3 games: W 28-25 @ NYJ · L 24-31 vs CIN · L 10-15 @ MIN.

Pre-game injury report

New England Patriots

Inactive: Behren Morton (QB), TreVeyon Henderson (RB), A.J. Brown (WR), Channing Canada (CB), Elliott Davison (S), Karon Prunty (CB).

Miami Dolphins

Inactive: Jared Wayne (WR), Justin Joly (TE), Haynes, Jamree Kromah (DE), Kadyn Proctor (T).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 11/1 · 3:22 PM ET.

Player projections

New England Patriots · 24.0 market-implied pts
Drake Maye (QB) — 245 pass yds · 29 rush yds
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) — 56 rush yds · 31 rec yds
Hunter Henry (TE) — 59 rec yds · 4.2 rec
Miami Dolphins · 17.3 market-implied pts
Malik Willis (QB) — 187 pass yds · 34 rush yds
Ollie Gordon II (RB) — 63 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Malik Washington (WR) — 3 rush yds · 46 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Patriots @ Dolphins, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Patriots @ Dolphins matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 8 games

← Week 7 · Week 9 → · Full 2026 schedule

Patriots 2026 schedule

Dolphins 2026 schedule