Miami Dolphins @ Green Bay Packers — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 15 2026

Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Lambeau Field

Prediction: Packers 28, Dolphins 17 (market-implied). The market gives the Green Bay Packers an 82% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Dolphins @ Packers, on one screen.

Dolphins17.3win 18%
Market-implied score
Packers27.8win 82%
SpreadGB -10.5
Total45
Moneyline+435 / -624
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Dolphins vs Packers prediction

The market makes Green Bay Packers a 10.5-point favorite over Miami Dolphins, with the game total at 45.

Moneylines sit at +435 for Miami Dolphins and -624 for Green Bay Packers, a devigged 82% win probability for Green Bay Packers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 17.3 for Miami Dolphins and 27.8 for Green Bay Packers.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 207 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, Ollie Gordon II (RB) at 58 rushing yards and 9 receiving yards; Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 261 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Christian Watson (WR) at 72 receiving yards and 4.9 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Lambeau Field.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Dolphins at Packers — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadGB -10.5
Total45
Moneyline (MIA / GB)+435 / -624
GB implied win probability82%
Implied team totals (MIA — GB)17.3 — 27.8

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Dolphins and Packers this season

Games before Week 15. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Miami Dolphins1-73-4-14-415.825.07
Green Bay Packers6-36-2-13-624.021.27

Dolphins' last 3 games: L 9-19 vs DET · L 19-24 vs NE · W 28-25 @ NYJ.

Packers' last 3 games: W 45-27 @ NE · W 27-19 vs CAR · L 17-20 @ DET.

Player projections

Miami Dolphins · 17.3 market-implied pts
Malik Willis (QB) — 207 pass yds · 28 rush yds
Ollie Gordon II (RB) — 58 rush yds · 9 rec yds
Caleb Douglas (WR) — 51 rec yds · 3.6 rec
Green Bay Packers · 27.8 market-implied pts
Jordan Love (QB) — 261 pass yds · 8 rush yds
Christian Watson (WR) — 72 rec yds · 4.9 rec
Josh Jacobs (RB) — 49 rush yds · 23 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Dolphins @ Packers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

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Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 15 games

← Week 14 · Week 16 → · Full 2026 schedule

Dolphins 2026 schedule

Packers 2026 schedule