Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Lambeau Field
The market makes Green Bay Packers a 10.5-point favourite over Miami Dolphins, with the game total at 45.5.
Moneylines sit at +470 for Miami Dolphins and -650 for Green Bay Packers, a devigged 83% win probability for Green Bay Packers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 17.5 for Miami Dolphins and 28 for Green Bay Packers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 222 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, De'Von Achane (RB) at 76 rushing yards and 30 receiving yards; Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 254 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Christian Watson (WR) at 74 receiving yards and 4.9 catches.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Lambeau Field.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | GB -10.5 |
| Total | 45.5 |
| Moneyline (MIA / GB) | +470 / -650 |
| GB implied win probability | 83% |
| Implied team totals (MIA — GB) | 17.5 — 28.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.