Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · Allegiant Stadium (indoors)
The market makes Las Vegas Raiders a 3-point favourite over Miami Dolphins, with the game total at 40.5.
Moneylines sit at +140 for Miami Dolphins and -164 for Las Vegas Raiders, a devigged 60% win probability for Las Vegas Raiders; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 18.8 for Miami Dolphins and 21.8 for Las Vegas Raiders.
The spread has moved from -3.5 to -3 since it opened.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 234 passing yards and 23 rushing yards, De'Von Achane (RB) at 71 rushing yards and 28 receiving yards; Las Vegas Raiders — Kirk Cousins (QB) at 194 passing yards and 2 rushing yards, Mike Washington Jr. (RB) at 81 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at Allegiant Stadium, indoors.
Final: Las Vegas Raiders won 27-13 (home, under).
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ATS: home. Total: under.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | LV -3 (open -3.5) |
| Total | 40.5 |
| Moneyline (MIA / LV) | +140 / -164 |
| LV implied win probability | 60% |
| Implied team totals (MIA — LV) | 18.8 — 21.8 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.