Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 1 2026

Monday, September 14, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

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Broncos10market had 20.3
Final
Chiefs31market had 22.3
SpreadKC -2
Total42.5
Moneyline+110 / -130
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Kansas City Chiefs a 2-point favorite over Denver Broncos, with the game total at 42.5.

Moneylines sit at +110 for Denver Broncos and -130 for Kansas City Chiefs, a devigged 54% win probability for Kansas City Chiefs; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.3 for Denver Broncos and 22.3 for Kansas City Chiefs.

The spread has moved from KC -2.5 to KC -2 since it opened and the total has moved from 43.5 to 42.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Denver Broncos — Bo Nix (QB) at 211 passing yards and 18 rushing yards, J.K. Dobbins (RB) at 58 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards; Kansas City Chiefs — Patrick Mahomes (QB) at 207 passing yards and 19 rushing yards, Kenneth Walker III (RB) at 55 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Monday, September 14, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Final: Kansas City Chiefs won 31-10; Kansas City Chiefs covered the spread (KC -2) and the game went under the 42.5 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

DEN 10 — KC 31

Kansas City Chiefs covered the spread (KC -2) and the game went under the 42.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Broncos at Chiefs — lines as of Mon, 9/14 · 8:15 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadKC -2 (open KC -2.5)
Total42.5 (open 43.5)
Moneyline (DEN / KC)+110 / -130
KC implied win probability54%
Implied team totals (DEN — KC)20.3 — 22.3

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Pre-game injury report

Denver Broncos

No players listed with a game designation.

Kansas City Chiefs

Inactive: Garrett Nussmeier (QB), Jared Wiley (TE), Bryson Eason (DT), Chamarri Conner (S), Diego Pounds (T), Jack Pyburn (LB), Josh Simmons (T).

Gameday inactives as of Mon, 9/14 · 7:18 PM ET.

Player projections

Denver Broncos · 20.3 market-implied pts
Bo Nix (QB) — 211 pass yds · 18 rush yds
J.K. Dobbins (RB) — 58 rush yds · 13 rec yds
Jaylen Waddle (WR) — 1 rush yds · 50 rec yds
Kansas City Chiefs · 22.3 market-implied pts
Patrick Mahomes (QB) — 207 pass yds · 19 rush yds
Kenneth Walker III (RB) — 55 rush yds · 19 rec yds
Rashee Rice (WR) — 2 rush yds · 53 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Broncos @ Chiefs, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

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Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 1 games

Week 2 → · Full 2026 schedule

Broncos 2026 schedule

Chiefs 2026 schedule