Kansas City Chiefs @ Los Angeles Rams — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 13 2026

Thursday, December 3, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · SoFi Stadium (indoors)

Prediction: Rams 26, Chiefs 22 (market-implied). The market gives the Los Angeles Rams a 66% chance to win. · Updated

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Chiefs21.6win 34%
Market-implied score
Rams25.9win 66%
SpreadLA -4.25
Total47.5
Moneyline+180 / -221
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Chiefs vs Rams prediction

The market makes Los Angeles Rams a 4.25-point favorite over Kansas City Chiefs, with the game total at 47.5.

Moneylines sit at +180 for Kansas City Chiefs and -221 for Los Angeles Rams, a devigged 66% win probability for Los Angeles Rams; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.6 for Kansas City Chiefs and 25.9 for Los Angeles Rams.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Kansas City Chiefs — Patrick Mahomes (QB) at 233 passing yards and 19 rushing yards, Kenneth Walker III (RB) at 73 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards; Los Angeles Rams — Matthew Stafford (QB) at 227 passing yards and 3 rushing yards, Puka Nacua (WR) at 4 rushing yards and 89 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Thursday, December 3, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET, at SoFi Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Chiefs at Rams — lines as of Thu, 9/10 · 8:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadLA -4.25
Total47.5
Moneyline (KC / LA)+180 / -221
LA implied win probability66%
Implied team totals (KC — LA)21.6 — 25.9

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Chiefs and Rams this season

Games before Week 13. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Kansas City Chiefs6-24-43-525.317.97
Los Angeles Rams5-45-44-523.820.18

Chiefs' last 3 games: W 35-12 vs NYJ · L 24-28 @ DEN · L 3-20 @ SEA.

Rams' last 3 games: W 20-13 @ WAS · W 24-9 vs LAC · W 35-21 @ LV.

Player projections

Kansas City Chiefs · 21.6 market-implied pts
Patrick Mahomes (QB) — 233 pass yds · 19 rush yds
Kenneth Walker III (RB) — 73 rush yds · 23 rec yds
Rashee Rice (WR) — 54 rec yds · 4.7 rec
Los Angeles Rams · 25.9 market-implied pts
Matthew Stafford (QB) — 227 pass yds · 3 rush yds
Puka Nacua (WR) — 4 rush yds · 89 rec yds
Kyren Williams (RB) — 64 rush yds · 20 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Chiefs @ Rams, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Chiefs @ Rams matchup →

Played indoors, so weather is not a factor. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 13 games

← Week 12 · Week 14 → · Full 2026 schedule

Chiefs 2026 schedule

Rams 2026 schedule