Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Hard Rock Stadium
The market makes Los Angeles Chargers a 7-point favourite over Miami Dolphins, with the game total at 45.5.
Moneylines sit at -375 for Los Angeles Chargers and +295 for Miami Dolphins, a devigged 24% win probability for Miami Dolphins; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 26.3 for Los Angeles Chargers and 19.3 for Miami Dolphins.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 212 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 73 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards; Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 216 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, De'Von Achane (RB) at 79 rushing yards and 29 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Hard Rock Stadium, Los Angeles Chargers take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | LAC -7 |
| Total | 45.5 |
| Moneyline (LAC / MIA) | -375 / +295 |
| MIA implied win probability | 24% |
| Implied team totals (LAC — MIA) | 26.3 — 19.3 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.