Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · Lumen Field
The market makes Seattle Seahawks a 6.5-point favourite over Los Angeles Chargers, with the game total at 43.
Moneylines sit at +255 for Los Angeles Chargers and -335 for Seattle Seahawks, a devigged 73% win probability for Seattle Seahawks; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 18.3 for Los Angeles Chargers and 24.8 for Seattle Seahawks.
The total has moved from 43.5 to 43.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 203 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 15 receiving yards; Seattle Seahawks — Drew Lock (QB) at 199 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) at 1 rushing yards and 80 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at Lumen Field.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | SEA -6.5 |
| Total | 43 (open 43.5) |
| Moneyline (LAC / SEA) | +255 / -335 |
| SEA implied win probability | 73% |
| Implied team totals (LAC — SEA) | 18.3 — 24.8 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.