Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · MetLife Stadium
The market makes New York Jets a 1.5-point favourite over Las Vegas Raiders, with the game total at 40.5.
Moneylines sit at +105 for Las Vegas Raiders and -125 for New York Jets, a devigged 53% win probability for New York Jets; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19.5 for Las Vegas Raiders and 21 for New York Jets.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Las Vegas Raiders — Kirk Cousins (QB) at 189 passing yards and 2 rushing yards, Ashton Jeanty (RB) at 60 rushing yards and 29 receiving yards; New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 210 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 66 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at MetLife Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | NYJ -1.5 |
| Total | 40.5 |
| Moneyline (LV / NYJ) | +105 / -125 |
| NYJ implied win probability | 53% |
| Implied team totals (LV — NYJ) | 19.5 — 21.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.