Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Ford Field (indoors)
The market makes Detroit Lions a 4.5-point favourite over Minnesota Vikings, with the game total at 47.5.
Moneylines sit at +180 for Minnesota Vikings and -218 for Detroit Lions, a devigged 66% win probability for Detroit Lions; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.5 for Minnesota Vikings and 26 for Detroit Lions.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Minnesota Vikings — Carson Wentz (QB) at 216 passing yards and 13 rushing yards, Aaron Jones (RB) at 76 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards; Detroit Lions — Jared Goff (QB) at 270 passing yards and 4 rushing yards, Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) at 92 rushing yards and 32 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Ford Field, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DET -4.5 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Moneyline (MIN / DET) | +180 / -218 |
| DET implied win probability | 66% |
| Implied team totals (MIN — DET) | 21.5 — 26.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.